The Arizona Cardinals and San Francisco 49ers will go head-to-head on the grass of Levi’s Stadium. This late afternoon game is scheduled to start at 4:25 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to FOX.
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers Betting Preview
Arizona is a live dog in this Sunday pairing and is currently getting 5 points. The Cardinals are also receiving +160 moneyline odds while the 49ers are -180. It appears that there might be some decent in-game betting opportunities in this matchup, and Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 40.5 points.
Early action has been slanting in the direction of the Cardinals. This game’s line originally opened at -6 and the O/U was initially 41.
The Cardinals are down 4.3 units this season and 2-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 0-4. The 49ers have lost 2.0 units this year. The team is 1-3 ATS and the over’s hit in three of its games.
The Cardinals have gone 0-4 straight up (SU), including 0-2 SU against NFC West opponents. The 49ers are 1-3 SU overall and 0-0 SU against divisional foes.
The Cards lost to Seattle 20-17 in a Week 4 game where Josh Rosen completed only 15-of-27 passes for 180 yards and one touchdown. David Johnson (just 71 yards on 22 rush attempts, one TD) provided the running attack in the loss while Christian Kirk (four receptions, 28 yards) and Johnson (three catches, 41 yards) handled the receiving duties.
San Francisco most-recently lost a 29-27 game to the Chargers in Week 4. The team’s defense let the Chargers rush for 126 yards on 27 attempts. Melvin Gordon III was outstanding, putting up 104 rushing yards on 15 attempts, along with 55 yards on seven catches for the Chargers. For San Francisco, C.J. Beathard completed 23-of-37 passes for 298 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Matt Breida (39 rushing yards on nine attempts) mounted the ground attack in the defeat while George Kittle (six receptions, 125 yards, one TD) and Pierre Garcon (four catches, 52 yards) led the pass-catching attack.
Arizona has run the ball on 40.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while San Francisco has a rush percentage of 45.0 percent. The Cardinals have produced 67 rush yards per game (including 73 per game against West opponents) and have two scores via handoffs this year. The Niners are logging 134 rushing yards per game (0 in conference) and have two total rush TDs.
If 2018 results are any indication, then it’s looking like the Cardinals ought to be the more disruptive team in the trenches, as their offensive line has yielded only 52 sacks while their D-line registered 37 sacks. The 49ers, on the other hand, have allowed 43 sacks and their defense has generated only 30 sacks.
The Cards offensive scheme has logged 154 yards/game through the air overall (135 per game versus conference opposition) and has three passing TDs so far. The Niners have recorded 254 pass yards per outing (0.0 against NFC competition) and have seven total pass scores.
Defensively, Arizona seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 141 yards and throw for 250 yards per game. The San Francisco defense has given up 288.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 104.3 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Cards have given up an ANY/A of 6.86 to opposing QBs, while the Niners are allowing an ANY/A of 7.36.
Offensively, Rosen has amassed 180 passing yards this season. He’s completed 56 percent of his 27 attempts with one passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. He has a 6.82 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.86 over the last two outings.
Look for a balanced attack offensively from Arizona in this one. David Johnson (156 rushing yards, two rush TDs, 74 receiving yards on the year), Christian Kirk (59 receiving yards) and Ricky Seals-Jones (88 receiving yards) have each played big roles lately.
For the home team, C.J. Beathard has completed 23-of-37 passes for 298 yards, two TDs and two INTs. Beathard’s ANY/A sits at 6.26 for the year.
We expect the Niners to control tempo by feeding the running backs early and often. In addition to George Kittle (237 receiving yards, one receiving TD this season), Matt Breida (223 rush yards, one rush TD, 58 receiving yards) and Alfred Morris (100 rush yards) have been significant factors in the San Francisco offense.
RELATED: Week 5 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions
Free NFL Pick: Arizona Cardinals vs. San Francisco 49ers
SU Winner – 49ers, ATS Winner – 49ers, O/U – Under
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Arizona defensive unit has 10 sacks on the year while San Francisco has eight.
The San Francisco offense has lost one fumble this season while the Arizona offense has lost three.
The Cardinals offense has produced zero pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the 49ers have accounted for two such plays.
The Arizona defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while San Francisco has given up two such plays.
The Arizona offense has created one rushing play of 20 yards or more, while San Francisco has created six such runs.
Both teams have allowed two rushing play of 20 or more yards. The Cardinals have given up 18 running plays of 10+ yards while the 49ers have given up 11 such plays.
San Francisco was favored by 10 points in its last game and the O/U going into it was 46.5. The over cashed and San Francisco did not cover in the team’s 29-27 loss to the Chargers.
In its last three matchups, San Francisco is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
Over its last three matches, Arizona is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
Arizona was getting 4 points in its previous game and the O/U was 40. The under cashed and Arizona covered in the 20-17 loss to Seattle.
Arizona has produced 3.26229508196721 yards per carry over its past three outings and 3.2 over its last two.
San Francisco has averaged 5.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.1 over its last two.
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