In a display of two schools that like to feature their running games, Head Coach Mike Gundy and the No. 25 Oklahoma State Cowboys (-6.5) are gearing up to take on their conference counterpart Kansas State Wildcats at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. Interested parties are able to catch the action live on ESPNU and the daytime matchup is scheduled to start at 12:00 p.m. ET.
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Kansas State Wildcats Betting Preview
Kansas State is a live dog here and is currently getting 6.5 points. The Cowboys are also receiving -270 moneyline odds while the Wildcats are +210. If one team can create a bunch of points early, it would likely result in a worthwhile betting scenario in-game.
The game’s line opened at 8, but the early action has shifted toward the Wildcats.
The hapless Cowboys have lost 9.5 units so far and are 3-3 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under mark of 3-2. The Wildcats are down 3.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-3 ATS and own an O/U record of 2-3.
The Cowboys are 4-2 straight up (SU), including 1-2 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Wildcats are 2-4 SU overall and are also 0-3 SU in conference play.
The Cowboys came up short to Iowa State 48-42 in a contest where Taylor Cornelius completed 19 passes for 289 yards, four touchdowns and one interception. Justice Hill (66 yards on 24 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Cornelius (46 yards on 14 carries, one TD) led the ground attack. Landon Wolf (six receptions, 63 yards, one TD) and Tylan Wallace (five catches, 82 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Kansas State narrowly fell 37-34 to Baylor. Skylar Thompson completed 15-of-26 passes for 149 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Alex Barnes (250 rushing yards on 22 attempts, three TDs) and the signal-caller Thompson (50 yards on nine carries, one TD) mounted the running attack as Isaiah Zuber (seven receptions, 56 yards) and Dalton Schoen (two catches, 30 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Oklahoma State has run the ball on 55.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Kansas State has a rush percentage of 61.5 percent. The Cowboys have produced 214 rush yards/game (including 170 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have 15 scores on the ground this year. The Wildcats are totaling 175 rushing yards per game (172 in conference) and have eight total rush TDs.
It appears that the Cowboys could hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their running backs has generated 5.1 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.2 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Wildcats have registered 4.4 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 5.3 to opponents.
The Cowboys offensive scheme has averaged 310 yards in the air overall (286 per game versus conference opposition) and has 17 passing scores so far. The Wildcats have put up 171 pass yards per game (162.0 in the Big 12) and have six total pass TDs.
Defensively, Oklahoma State has allowed opponents to run for an average of 118 yards and throw for 273 yards per game. The Kansas State defense has allowed 241.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 180.7 yards per game to opposing runners. The Wildcats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.55 to opposing QBs, while the Cowboys have given up a 6.41 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Cornelius has put up 1,518 yards on the year, and has completed 59 percent of his 172 attempts with 12 passing scores and five interceptions. He has a 7.52 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 10.43 over the last two games.
Justice Hill (454 rushing yards, six rush TDs this season), Tylan Wallace (524 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Landon Wolf (104 receiving yards, one TD) have each played key roles lately.
In the other huddle, Skylar Thompson has completed 54-of-92 passes for 654 yards, five TDs and three INTs. Thompson’s ANY/A stands at 5.42 for the season and 2.92 over his past two games.
Alex Barnes (527 rushing yards, four rush TDs on the year), Dalton Schoen (224 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Isaiah Zuber (412 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) have combined for 538 total yards and four touchdowns over the last two games.
When these two teams met last year, Kansas State earned the win 45-40.
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Notes
Team Betting Notes
Oklahoma State was favored by 10 points in its last game and the O/U was 55.5. The over cashed and Oklahoma State failed to cover in the 48-42 loss to Iowa State.
As a team, Oklahoma State has produced 4.51327433628319 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.3 over its last two.
Kansas State has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.8 over its past two.
The Kansas State offense has lost six fumbles this season while Oklahoma State has lost four.
In its last three matches, Oklahoma State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Kansas State was favored by 4 points in its last match and the O/U was set at 54.5. The over cashed and Kansas State did not cover in that 37-34 loss to Baylor.
Over its last three matchups, Kansas State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Kansas State has lost five of its last six games SU, with a 24-point win over UTSA on September 15th representing the lone victory over that span.
The Cowboys offense has created seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Wildcats have put up three such plays.
The Oklahoma State defense has allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards, while Kansas State has given up two such plays.
The Oklahoma State offense has created 15 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Kansas State has created 11 such runs.
The Cowboys defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Wildcats have given up 10 such runs.
The Oklahoma State defense has more than three times as many sacks as Kansas State this year (28 to nine).
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