The Wolf Pack are set to welcome their in-conference counterpart Boise State Broncos to Nevada. This showdown will kick off pretty late for fans on the East Coast (10:30 p.m. ET) and fans can catch it live by tuning in to CBS Sports Network.
Boise State Broncos at Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Preview
The disappointing Broncos are down 4.7 units so far and 3-2 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an Over-Under mark of 3-2. The Wolf Pack have lost 0.3 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-3.
The Broncos have gone 3-2 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against conference opponents. The Wolf Pack are 3-3 SU overall and are also 1-1 SU in conference play.
The Broncos came up short to San Diego State 19-13 in a game where the passing attack wasn’t where it needed to be as Brett Rypien completed just 21 passes on 41 attempts for 170 yards and two interceptions. Alexander Mattison (66 rushing yards on 25 attempts, two TDs) mounted the running attack. A.J. Richardson (five receptions, 38 yards) and John Hightower (four catches, 27 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Nevada just fell 21-3 to Fresno State. Cristian Solano completed 22-of-43 passes for 195 yards and three interceptions. Solano (71 rushing yards on 23 attempts) and Toa Taua (26 yards on 10 carries) mounted the running game as Kaleb Fossum (12 receptions, 97 yards) and McLane Mannix (four catches, 55 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
In terms of offensive play-calling, each team sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Boise State’s run the ball on 47.8 percent of its offensive possessions while Nevada has an overall rush percentage of 46.8. The Broncos have produced 151 rush yards/game (including 106 per game against Mountain West opponents) and have 10 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Wolf Pack are putting up 163 rush yards per game (155 in conference) and have 11 total rushing TDs.
If 2018 numbers are any indication, then it’s looking like the Wolf Pack should have the edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their backfield has logged 4.8 yards per carry while the defense has allowed a YPC of 3.3 to opponents. The Broncos have rushed for 4.0 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 3.8 to opponents.
The Broncos offensive scheme has logged 325 yards per contest in the air overall (262 per game against conference opposition) and has 13 passing TDs so far. The Wolf Pack have recorded 269 pass yards per outing (227.0 in the MWC) and have 12 total pass scores.
Defensively, Boise State should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 131 rush yards and 180 pass yards per game. The Nevada defense has allowed 256.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 133.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Broncos are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.30 to opposing QBs, while the Wolf Pack have given up a 7.45 ANY/A.
Offensively, Rypien has put up 1,217 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 101-of-153 attempts with 10 scores through the air and only two interceptions. Rypien has a 7.52 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.82 over the past two outings.
A.J. Richardson, Alexander Mattison and Sean Modster have combined to account for 430 total yards and four touchdowns over the last couple of outings.
For the home team, Ty Gangi has connected on 108-of-183 passes for 1,332 yards, 11 TDs and six INTs. Gangi’s ANY/A stands at 6.72 for the season and 8.91 across his last two games.
Kaleb Fossum (445 receiving yards on the year), Toa Taua (357 rush yards, four rush TDs) and McLane Mannix (413 receiving yards, four receiving TDs) have combined for 372 total yards the last couple of games.
When these two schools faced one another a year ago, Boise State knocked Nevada off soundly 41-14.
RELATED: Week 7 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Betting Pick: Boise State Broncos at Nevada Wolf Pack
SU Winner – Nevada
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Notes
Team Betting Notes
Boise State was favored by 13 points in its previous game and the O/U was set at 50.5. The under cashed and Boise State failed to cover in the 19-13 loss to San Diego State.
Boise State has rushed for 2.17699115044248 yards per attempt over its past three contests and 2.6 over its last two.
Nevada has averaged 5.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.0 over its last two.
Nevada has lost four fumbles this season while Boise State has lost two.
Over its last three matchups, Boise State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Nevada was getting 17 points in its last game and the O/U going into it was 59. The under cashed and Nevada failed to cover in that 21-3 loss to Fresno State.
In its last three matchups, Nevada is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Broncos offense has produced seven pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Wolf Pack have put up five such plays.
The Boise State defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Nevada has given up seven such plays.
The Boise State offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Nevada has created 13 such runs.
The Broncos defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Wolf Pack have given up seven such runs.
The Boise State defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 18 times this year. Nevada has registered 16 sacks.
