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Kansas Jayhawks at Texas Tech Red Raiders: NCAA Football Free Betting Pick

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

The Red Raiders of Texas Tech (-21) are prepared to welcome the Kansas Jayhawks to Jones AT&T Stadium. Kickoff for this Big 12 matchup is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET and you can watch the action live on FS1.

Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview

Texas Tech has been tabbed as heavily favored in this one and is currently giving up 21 points to Kansas. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 61 points, and if one team gets out in front early, it would likely create a worthy live betting scenario.

With the line opening at -18 and the total originally placed at 61.5, odds have moved slightly.

The Jayhawks are down 3.4 units so far and 3-3 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U mark of 2-3. The Red Raiders have been a pleasant surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 6.6 units. The team is 4-2 ATS and four of its games have gone over the total.

The Jayhawks have gone just 2-4 straight up (SU), including 0-3 SU against conference opponents. The Red Raiders are 4-2 SU overall and are also 2-1 SU in conference play.

When these two squads met last year, Texas Tech won easily 65-19.

The Jayhawks are looking to get back in stride after a 38-22 loss to West Virginia on October 6. the Jayhawks completed 21-of-34 passes for 206 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Peyton Bender went 16-for-25 for 191 yards, two touchdowns and one interception while Carter Stanley completed five-of-eight for 15 yards and one interception. Pooka Williams Jr. (65 rushing yards on 12 attempts) propelled the running attack while Jeremiah Booker (four receptions, 63 yards) and Kerr Johnson Jr. (four catches, 46 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.

Texas Tech just picked up a 17-14 win over TCU. Jett Duffey completed 13-of-24 passes for 190 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Duffey (83 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) and Tre King (60 yards on 10 carries) handled the running game as Ja’Deion High (four receptions, 78 yards, one TD) and Antoine Wesley (three catches, 82 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.

Kansas has run the ball on 53.8 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 48.0 percent across possessions in conference play. Texas Tech has an overall rush percentage of 49.2 percent, and has kept it on the ground 52.2 percent of the time when facing Big 12 opponents. The Jayhawks have produced 167 rush yards per game (including 108 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have eight touchdowns on the ground this year. The Red Raiders are totaling 178 rushing yards per game (181 in conference) and have 19 total rush TDs.

If 2018 numbers are any indication, then it appears the Red Raiders could have the edge when it comes to quarterback protection, since their offensive line has allowed only nine sacks while their D-line has logged 10 sacks. The Jayhawks offensive line has allowed 19 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 10 occasions.

The Jayhawks offense has logged 181 yards/game through the air overall (201 per game versus conference opposition) and has 10 passing TDs so far. The Red Raiders have put up an astonishing 373 pass yards per game (298.0 against Big 12 competition) and have 14 total pass scores.

Defensively, Kansas should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 177 yards and throw for 224 yards per game. The Texas Tech D has allowed 299.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 142.2 yards per game on the ground. The Jayhawks are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.48 to opponents, while the Red Raiders have given up a 6.87 ANY/A.

Offensively, Stanley has put up 57 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 67 percent of his 15 attempts with zero scores through the air and one interception. He has a 0.38 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 5.56 over the past two games.

For the home team, Jett Duffey has completed 20-of-33 passes for 283 yards, one TD and two INTs. Duffey’s ANY/A sits at 5.91 for the season and 4.69 over his past two outings.

RELATED: Week 8 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions 

Betting Prediction: Kansas Jayhawks vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders

SU Winner – Texas Tech, ATS Winner – Kansas, O/U – Under

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Betting Notes

The O/U for Kansas’ last game was set at 64. The under cashed in the team’s 38-22 loss to West Virginia.

As a team, Kansas has rushed for 3.8 yards per attempt over its last three games and 3.5 over its last two.

Texas Tech has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.8 over its last two.

Texas Tech has lost one fumble this season while Kansas has lost three.

In its last three matchups, Kansas is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Texas Tech’s last matchup was set at 57.5. The under cashed in the 17-14 win over TCU.

In its last three matchups, Texas Tech is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Texas Tech has won five of its last six games SU, with a -8-point defeat to West Virginia on September 29th accounting for its one loss over that span.

The Jayhawks offense has recorded zero pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Red Raiders have accounted for eight such plays.

The Kansas defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Texas Tech has given up six such plays.

The Kansas offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Texas Tech has created eight such runs.

The Jayhawks defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Red Raiders have given up seven such runs.

Each team defense has tallied 10 sacks this season.

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Written by GMS Previews

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