The Golden State Warriors and Oklahoma City Thunder get their seasons going at ORACLE Arena. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, October 16, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 222 points with Golden State opening as a 12.5-point favorite.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Prediction
Golden State defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers in four games last season to take home the Larry O’Brien Championship Trophy. In the regular season, the Warriors went 58-24. Oklahoma City, meanwhile, went to the playoffs last season following a 48-34 regular season campaign that earned them the four seed in the Western Conference. They were defeated in the First Round by the Utah Jazz in six games.
This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the offense of Golden State. In the 2017-18 season, Golden State ranked 24th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.4 percent), while the disruptive defense of Oklahoma City forced the most turnovers in the NBA (15.3 percent). Also, the Thunder ranked first in offensive rebounding percentage (27.2 percent), while the Warriors ranked 23rd in defensive rebounding percentage (76.6 percent).
The Thunder had a respectable 48-34 straight up (SU) record last season, but were just 47-39-1 against the spread (ATS). Of Oklahoma City’s 87 games that accepted bets last year, 48 finished under the projected point total.
On the other side, the Warriors were 58-24 SU and 51-45-3 ATS last season. In accordance with Oklahoma City, a little over half of Golden State’s games finished under the O/U total.
These two teams split four games last season. The Warriors won the last matchup 111-107. Golden State had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.542 vs. 0.425). Oklahoma City, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (39.3 vs. 14.3).
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
In games where they allow less than 100 points, Golden State is 23-7 and Oklahoma City is 23-6.
The Thunder are 46-19 when they score over 100 points, while the Warriors are 70-17.
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (28.6) while Oklahoma City ranks 29th (21.0).
The Thunder rank first in second chance points per game (15.0) while the Warriors rank 28th (10.4).
Oklahoma City averages 9.0 steals per game, which ranks first in the league. Golden State ranks 26th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
The Thunder average 18.8 points off turnovers per game, which ranks first in the league. The Warriors rank 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.7).
Oklahoma City ranks fourth in fast break points per game (15.1) while Golden State ranks 25th in fast break points allowed per game (13.7).
The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (7.1) while the Thunder rank 11th (5.0).
Golden State ranks 14th in three pointers attempted per game (29.4) while Oklahoma City ranks 24th in three pointers allowed per game (30.6).
The Thunder rank fifth in rebounds per game (45.0) while the Warriors rank 15th (43.8).
Oklahoma City ranks 17th in points in the paint per game (43.6) while Golden State ranks 23rd in points allowed in the paint per game (47.1).
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