The San Jose State Spartans battle the San Diego State Aztecs this week in a game that will feature the country’s second-leading rusher, Tyler Ervin (874 yards, 11 TDs). The Spartans and Aztecs have both gone 3-3 thus far. The game kicks off Saturday, Oct 17 at 10:30 p.m. ET and will be shown on ESPU.
In last week’s matchup, San Jose State defeated UNLV 33-27. Kenny Potter had a huge game through the air in the victory, connecting on 30 of 48 pass attempts for 329 yards, two TDs and one interception. San Diego State also won last week’s performance, defeating Hawaii 28-14. Donnel Pumphrey had a great game running the ball for the Aztecs, rushing 30 times for 148 yards and three TDs. Eric Judge also had a great game with 92 receiving yards and a TD on four catches.
San Jose State is a small two-point favorite at home against the Aztecs.
Sitting at 3-3 Straight Up (SU) and 4-2 Against The Spread (ATS), the Spartans will look to improve heading into Week 7. Expect the Spartans defense to restrict San Diego State’s passing attack. The Spartans have the third-ranked pass defense in the nation and give up only 117.2 passing yards per game. Penalties aren’t likely to cost San Jose State this week’s game. They earn the fifth-fewest penalties among Division I teams, averaging only four per game.
In the other locker room, the Aztecs head into Week 7 with records of 2-4 ATS and 3-3 SU. The Aztecs have the 23rd-ranked run defense in the nation, giving up just 114.6 yards per game on the ground. San Diego State has put in some strong special teams performances this season. The team has averaged 131.2 return yards per game, ranking them 12th in the nation.
Predictions: SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State
Notes
San Jose State is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose State’s last 6 games.
San Jose State is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games.
San Jose State is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose State’s last 6 games when playing San Diego State.
San Diego State is 2-1 SU when leading at the half this season. San Jose State is 3-1 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
Remarkably, San Diego State is only 1-3 SU in games where it wins the turnover battle, yet undefeated (2-0 SU) when losing the turnover battle.
According to overall FBS team rankings, San Diego State is rated higher in the ground game on both sides of the ball. Its 67th-ranked rushing attack will face the 114th-ranked run defense of San Jose State, while its 23rd-ranked run defense will look to contain the 52nd-ranked rushing game of the Spartans.
