The Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks get their seasons going at Talking Stick Resort Arena. The game can be seen on ESPN at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 17, 2018.
Neither team is favored and the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 215 points.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Betting Prediction
Dallas failed to reach the playoffs following a 24-58 regular season last season. Phoenix also was unable make the playoffs after a 21-61 regular season.
It will be a showdown of opposite styles as the fast-paced Suns will look to push the slower-paced Mavericks. In the 2017-18 season, the Suns ranked third in possessions per game while the Mavericks were 24th. The Mavericks should have an edge in terms of ball protection. They ranked 2nd at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 12.0 percent), while the Suns forced the third-fewest turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 12.7 percent).
The Mavericks had records of 24-58 straight up (SU) and 43-38-1 against the spread (ATS) last season. Of Dallas’ 82 games that accepted bets last year, 47 finished under the O/U total.
The Suns, meanwhile, were 21-61 SU and 40-40-2 ATS last season. Contrary to Dallas, Phoenix games went over the O/U total 58.5 percent of the time.
The Suns won all three games against the Mavericks last season. In the last game, Phoenix won 124-97. Phoenix launched 26 three pointers, making 13 of them (50.0 percent). Dallas was, meanwhile, 8-33 (24.2 percent).
Dallas Mavericks at Phoenix Suns Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Dallas is 16-13 and Phoenix is 8-2.
The Suns are 16-36 when they score more than 100 points, while the Mavericks are 18-28.
Dallas ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (13.8) while Phoenix ranks 29th (18.6).
The Mavericks rank seventh in steals allowed per game (7.2) while the Suns rank 29th (8.7).
Dallas ranks seventh in blocks allowed per game (4.5) while Phoenix ranks 29th (6.0).
The Suns rank 10th in points in the paint per game (46.1) while the Mavericks rank last (38.8).
Phoenix ranks seventh in fast break points per game (14.4) while Dallas ranks 26th in fast break points allowed per game (14.3).
The Mavericks rank third in three pointers attempted per game (32.8) while the Suns rank 20th (27.9).
Phoenix ranks 12th in second chance points per game (12.8) while Dallas ranks 29th (10.4).
The Suns rank 10th in rebounds per game (44.1) while the Mavericks rank 27th (41.3).
Dallas ranks 17th in assists per game (22.7) while Phoenix ranks 27th (21.3).
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