The Utah Jazz (1-0) welcome the Golden State Warriors (1-0) to Vivint Smart Home Arena for their home opener. The game can be seen on ESPN at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, October 19, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 218 points with Golden State opening as a 2-point favorite.
Golden State Warriors vs. Utah Jazz Betting Prediction
Although the Warriors beat the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game, 108-100, they were not able to cover as 12-point favorites. The combined points for the game (208) were under the projected point total of 220.5. Golden State’s offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over Oklahoma City. The Warriors had a rate of 34.8, while the Thunder posted a mark of 28.1. Golden State was led by Stephen Curry, who was the game’s leading scorer with 32 points on 11-for-20 shooting.
In the Jazz’s last game, they were victorious over the Sacramento Kings, 123-117, but failed to cover as 8.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (240) were well over the O/U total of 205.5. The Jazz had a much better free throw rate (0.354 vs. 0.126) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (13.5 vs. 11.4). With 19 points and 15 rebounds, Rudy Gobert played well for Utah.
Baskets could be hard to come by as a pair of the NBA’s top defenses go head-to-head. Since last season, Utah ranks first in defensive efficiency (102.5) and Golden State is fifth (104.3).
Since last season, the Warriors have had records of 59-24 straight up (SU) and 51-46-3 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Golden State games since last season with 54 unders compared to 45 overs.
Meanwhile, the Jazz, are 49-34 SU and 42-47-5 ATS since last season. Vegas has been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Utah games over that same time frame with 48 overs compared to 46 unders.
The Jazz won three out of four games against the Warriors last season. In the most recent matchup, Utah won 119-79. The Jazz had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.6 vs. 17.6) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.606 vs. 0.378).
Golden State Warriors vs. Utah Jazz Betting Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
In games where they hold opponents below 100 points, Golden State is 23-7 and Utah is 37-7.
When scoring above 100 points, the Jazz are 44-14 and the Warriors are 71-17.
Utah ranks second in second chance points allowed per game (10.9) while Golden State ranks 28th (13.5).
The Jazz rank fourth in steals per game (8.5) while the Warriors rank 28th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
Utah ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (10.1) while Golden State ranks 25th (13.7).
The Warriors rank first in assists per game (28.6) while the Jazz rank 23rd (22.2).
Utah ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.8) while Golden State ranks 22nd (47.0).
The Jazz rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (26.6) while the Warriors rank 17th (29.9).
Golden State ranks fifth in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while Utah ranks 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.9).
The Warriors rank first in blocks allowed per game (3.7) while the Jazz rank 11th (4.7).
Utah ranks second in rebounds allowed per game (41.9) while Golden State ranks 10th (42.6).
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