The New Mexico State Aggies and Texas State Bobcats will go at it on the turf at Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium. Kickoff for this showdown is pegged for 7:00 p.m. ET and ESPN 3 is scheduled to televise the action. When the two squads faced each other last year, New Mexico State emerged victorious by a final score of 45-35.
New Mexico State Aggies at Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview
In this Saturday game, Texas State has been tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Aggies are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Bobcats are -140. If one school catches a lucky break early it’ll create a nice live betting opportunity. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 58 points.
The Aggies are down 1.6 units so far and 2-6 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 6-2. The hapless Bobcats have lost 6.0 units this season. They’re 3-3-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-4.
The Aggies have gone 2-6 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Bobcats are 1-6 SU.
The Aggies are most-recently reeling from a 48-31 defeat to Georgia Southern last week. Josh Adkins completed 25 passes for 295 yards and one interception. Christian Gibson (75 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) and Jason Huntley (68 yards on 12 carries, three TDs) propelled the ground attack while Johnathan Boone (seven receptions, 71 yards) and Royce Caldwell (four catches, 64 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Texas State just lost a 20-14 game to Louisiana-Monroe. The defense let the Warhawks rush for 229 yards on 43 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Marcus Green put up a solid outing for Louisiana-Monroe, recording 62 rushing yards on four attempts, along with 36 yards on three catches. For Texas State, Tyler Vitt completed 15-of-25 passes for 115 yards. Vitt (29 rushing yards on 11 attempts, one TD) and Robert Brown, Jr. (46 yards on 10 carries, one TD) spearheaded the running game as Keenen Brown (four receptions, 50 yards) and Jeremiah Haydel (four catches, 17 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
New Mexico State has run the ball on 42.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Texas State has an overall rush percentage of 55.1 percent. The Aggies have produced 107 rush yards/game and have 11 scores on the ground this year. The Bobcats are averaging 131 rushing yards per game and have seven total rush TDs.
The Aggies offensive scheme has averaged 242 yards in the air overall and has 10 passing scores so far. The Bobcats have put up 190 pass yards per contest and also have 10 total pass TDs.
New Mexico State has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 273 yards and pass for 214 yards per game. The Texas State D has allowed 188.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 176.4 yards per game on the ground. The Bobcats are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.21 to opposing QBs, while the Aggies have allowed a 7.00 ANY/A.
Offensively, Adkins is up to 1,031 passing yards on the year. He’s connected on 63 percent of his 131 attempts with six scores through the air and three interceptions. Adkins has a 6.90 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 5.08 over the past two outings.
We expect the Aggies to control tempo by getting the ball in the hands of their running backs. Along with Johnathan Boone (332 yards, one TD), Jason Huntley (235 rush yards, four rush TDs, 237 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Christian Gibson (372 rush yards, three rush TDs) have been significant focal points in the New Mexico State offensive scheme.
In the home locker room, Tyler Vitt has completed 62-of-93 passes for 633 yards, five TDs and three INTs. Vitt’s ANY/A sits at 5.28 for the year and 3.58 over his last two outings.
The Bobcats should also look to control the clock by turning to their backfield. In addition to Keenen Brown (396 receiving yards, four receiving TDs), Anthony D. Taylor (198 rush yards, one rush TD) and Mason Hays (40 receiving yards) have seen a multitude of touches lately.
RELATED: Week 9 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Betting Prediction: New Mexico State Aggies vs. Texas State Bobcats
SU Winner – Texas State, ATS Winner – Texas State, O/U – Under
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Notes
Both teams have lost six fumbles this year.
The New Mexico State defense has more than three times as many sacks as Texas State this year (22 versus seven).
New Mexico State has averaged 5.1 yards per rush attempt over its past three outings and 4.5 over its last two.
Texas State has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.4 over its last two.
Over its last three contests, Texas State is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for New Mexico State’s previous game was 52.5. The over cashed in the team’s 48-31 defeat to Georgia Southern.
Over its last three games, New Mexico State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
The O/U for Texas State’s last game was 61. The under cashed in the 20-14 defeat to Louisiana-Monroe.
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