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College Football Free Preview – Tulane Green Wave at Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Oct 20, 2018; Fayetteville, AR, USA; Tulsa Golden Hurricanes quarterback Seth Boomer (12) passes as Arkansas Razorbacks defensive lineman Jonathan Marshall (42) tackles at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Arkansas won 23-0. Mandatory Credit: Nelson Chenault-USA TODAY Sports

Two schools that like running the football, Head Coach Philip Montgomery and the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-3) are prepared to host the Tulane Green Wave at Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium. ESPNU is scheduled to have the TV rights and kickoff for this AAC game is set for 7:00 p.m. ET.

Tulane Green Wave at Tulsa Golden Hurricane Betting Preview

In this Saturday American Athletic Conference game, Tulsa has been tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Green Wave are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Golden Hurricane are -140. If one team can get out in front early on it would produce a worthy in-game betting scenario. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 50.5 points.

The Green Wave have lost 1.4 units so far and are 3-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 2-5. The Golden Hurricane are down 4.2 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 0-6.

The Green Wave have gone 2-5 straight up (SU), including 1-2 SU against conference opponents. The Golden Hurricane are 1-6 SU overall and 0-3 SU in conference play.

When these two teams faced one another last year, Tulane knocked off Tulane handily 62-28.

The Green Wave are most-recently on the rebound after a 27-23 loss to SMU last week where their defense let the Mustangs air it out for 291 yards and three touchdowns. Reggie Roberson, Jr. posted a productive day for the Mustangs in that one with 99 yards and a score on seven catches. On the offensive side of the ball, Jonathan Banks completed 14-of-22 passes for just 153 yards and one interception. Banks (34 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) also led the ground attack and was complemented by Darius Bradwell (72 yards on 13 carries, one TD). Terren Encalade (four receptions, 39 yards) and Stephon Huderson (three catches, 39 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Tulsa was just shut out 23-0 by Arkansas. The defensive unit allowed the Razorbacks to rush for 196 yards on 53 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Rakeem Boyd had a good outing for Arkansas, posting 99 rushing yards on 22 attempts. For Tulsa, Seth Boomer completed eight-of-25 passes for 127 yards and one interception. Shamari Brooks (91 yards on 20 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Boomer (-6 yards on 12 carries) spearheaded the running attack as Keylon Stokes (three receptions, 74 yards) and Justin Hobbs (two catches, 12 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Breaking down the offensive play-calling, each squad has a strikingly similar (64-36) run-pass ratio on the season. The Green Wave have run for 188 yards per game (including 207 per game versus American Athletic Conference opponents) and have 14 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Golden Hurricane are totaling 198 rushing yards per game (209 in conference) and have 11 total rush TDs.

It appears that the Green Wave could have an edge in terms of RB efficiency. Their backfield has produced 4.3 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.9 YPC to opponents. The Golden Hurricane have rushed for 3.9 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 4.9 to opponents.

The Green Wave offensive scheme has tallied 181 yards/contest through the air overall (154 per game against conference opposition) and has eight passing scores so far. The Golden Hurricane have produced 166 pass yards per game (167.0 against AAC competition) and have six total pass TDs.

Defensively, Tulane has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 156 yards and throw for 275 yards per game. The Tulsa D has given up 176.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 211.9 yards per game to opposing runners. The Golden Hurricane are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.27 to opposing QBs, while the Green Wave have allowed a 6.85 ANY/A.

Offensively, Banks is up to 1,072 passing yards this year. The signal-caller has connected on 53 percent of his 134 attempts with five passing scores and two interceptions. Banks has a 6.08 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 2.36 over the last two outings.

We’re expecting the Green Wave to control the clock by feeding their running backs early and often. Darnell Mooney (495 yards, four TDs) has been a recent factor in the passing game, but backfield mates Darius Bradwell (453 rush yards, five rush TDs) and Stephon Huderson (171 rush yards, 60 receiving yards) have been focal points in the offensive gameplans for Tulane.

Seth Boomer has completed 21-of-56 passes for 354 yards, one TD and two INTs for Tulsa. His ANY/A stands at a minuscule 3.36 for the year and 2.47 over his past two outings.

The Golden Hurricane should also look to control the clock by turning to their backfield. Along with Keylon Stokes (282 receiving yards), Shamari Brooks (466 rush yards, four rush TDs) and Corey Taylor II (465 rush yards, four rush TDs, 41 receiving yards) have gotten a lot of touches lately.

RELATED: Week 9 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions 

NCAA Tip: Tulane Green Wave vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane

SU Winner – Tulsa, ATS Winner – Tulsa, O/U – Over

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Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Green Wave offense has tallied five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Golden Hurricane have accounted for three such plays.

The Tulane defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Tulsa has given up four such plays.

The Tulane offense has created 18 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Tulsa has created 13 such runs.

The Green Wave defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Golden Hurricane have given up 11 such runs.

The Tulane defensive unit has 18 sacks on the year while Tulsa has just seven.

Tulane has produced 4.4 yards per carry over its past three games and 3.6 over its last two.

Tulsa has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.0 over its past two.

In its last three matches, Tulsa is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for Tulane’s last game was set at 55. The under cashed in the team’s 27-23 loss to SMU.

Over its last three contests, Tulane is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Tulsa’s last game was 54. The under cashed in that 23-0 loss to Arkansas.

Tulane has lost five of its last six games SU, with a 16-point victory over Memphis on September 28th representing the only win over that stretch.

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Written by GMS Previews

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