The Cleveland Cavaliers (0-3) seek their first win when they clash with the Brooklyn Nets (1-2) at Quicken Loans Arena. The game will air on YES Network at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 24, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 229 points with Cleveland set as a 3-point favorite.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Prediction
The Nets failed to cover as 8-point underdogs in their 132-112 loss to the Indiana Pacers in their last outing. The combined points for the game (244) finished well over the O/U total of 214.5. Indiana’s turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Brooklyn. The Pacers had a rate of 9.0, while the Nets posted a mark of 17.3. Brooklyn’s Caris LeVert played well, contributing 19 points.
In the Cavaliers’ last matchup, they got blown out by the Atlanta Hawks, 133-111, despite being 8-point favorites. The game’s total points (244) finished over the projected point total of 232.5. Atlanta’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over Cleveland. The Hawks had a rate of 0.153, while the Cavaliers posted a mark of 0.091. Cleveland’s Kevin Love contributed 16 points and 17 rebounds in the game.
The high-octane offense of Cleveland will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of Brooklyn. Dating back to last season, the Cavaliers rank sixth in offensive efficiency, while the Nets are 24th in defensive efficiency. The Cavaliers figure to have the edge on that end of the court.
The Nets are 29-56 straight up (SU) and 41-42-2 against the spread (ATS) since last season. Just over half of Brooklyn games have finished over the projected point total since last season.
The Cavaliers, meanwhile, are 50-35 SU and 47-51-5 ATS since last season. Vegas has had a tendency to place the total low when Cleveland has been involved over that same period as 61.2 percent of their games have ended over the projected point total.
The Cavaliers won three out of four contests against the Nets last season. In the most recent game, Cleveland won 121-114. Cleveland had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (26.2 vs. 15.6). Brooklyn, meanwhile, had a better turnover percentage (8.7 vs. 10.1).
Brooklyn Nets vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
In games where they allow under 100 points, Cleveland is 22-6 and Brooklyn is 13-1.
When reaching 100 points, the Cavaliers are 58-24 and the Nets are 25-37.
Brooklyn ranks first in three pointers allowed per game (24.5) while Cleveland ranks 28th (31.3).
The Nets rank fifth in assists allowed per game (21.6) while the Cavaliers rank 27th (25.2).
Cleveland ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.3) while Brooklyn ranks 24th (5.4).
The Cavaliers rank 12th in rebounds allowed per game (42.9) while the Nets rank last (46.5).
Cleveland ranks 16th in second chance points allowed per game (12.6) while Brooklyn ranks last (13.6).
The Cavaliers rank 22nd in points off turnovers per game (15.5) while the Nets rank last (14.1).
Brooklyn ranks 16th in points in the paint per game (44.1) while Cleveland ranks 23rd in points allowed in the paint per game (47.1).
Neither of these teams are great at stealing the ball. The Cavaliers are 28th in the league with 6.8 steals per game while the Nets are last with 6.2 steals per game.
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