The Indiana Pacers (2-2) travel to San Antonio to play the Spurs (2-1) in what should be a low-scoring game. The game will air on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 8:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 24, 2018.
San Antonio is a 2-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 212 points.
Indiana Pacers at San Antonio Spurs Betting Prediction
The Pacers failed to cover as 2-point underdogs in their 101-91 loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last outing. The combined points for the game (192) came in well under the O/U total of 229. Converting at the free throw line was one of Minnesota’s largest strengths. They were 22-24 (91.7 percent), while the Pacers were just 11-16 (68.8 percent). Victor Oladipo led Indiana in scoring with 20 points on 8-for-23 shooting.
In the Spurs’ last game, they edged the Los Angeles Lakers, 143-142, despite being 1.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (285) were well over the O/U total of 226.5. The Spurs had a much better free throw rate (0.289 vs. 0.168) and had a better turnover percentage (7.3 vs. 11.2). LaMarcus Aldridge led San Antonio in scoring with 37 points on 13-for-22 shooting.
Half-court execution will be critical when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams clash. San Antonio ranks 30th in possessions per game (97.0) and Indiana is 27th (97.7) dating back to the 2017-18 season. Additionally, the Pacers rank 25th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.172), while the Spurs rank fourth in opponents’ FTA rate (0.173).
Since last season, the Pacers are 50-36 straight up (SU) and 43-45-2 against the spread (ATS). Just over half of Indiana games have finished over the O/U total since last season.
Meanwhile, the Spurs, are 49-36 SU and 52-47-2 ATS since last season. San Antonio’s games have gone over the projected point total 57.4 percent of the time over that same time frame.
The Pacers won both contests against the Spurs last season. In the most recent contest, Indiana won 94-86. Indiana did an excellent job of converting from the charity stripe (16-17; 94.1 percent). San Antonio, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (22.7 vs. 16.3).
Indiana Pacers vs. San Antonio Spurs Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
When holding opponents below 100 points, Indiana is 30-5 and San Antonio is 33-11.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Pacers are 42-19 and the Spurs are 39-16.
San Antonio ranks third in three pointers allowed per game (26.5) while Indiana ranks 27th (30.8).
The Spurs rank sixth in blocks per game (5.4) while the Pacers rank 26th (4.1).
Indiana ranks fifth in fast break points per game (15.0) while San Antonio ranks 25th (10.0).
The Pacers rank second in points off turnovers per game (18.4) while the Spurs rank 19th (16.1).
Indiana ranks second in steals per game (8.7) while San Antonio ranks 15th (7.6).
The Spurs average 13.2 second chance points per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The Pacers rank 15th in second chance points allowed per game (12.6).
Indiana ranks 12th in points in the paint per game (45.2) while San Antonio ranks 13th in points allowed in the paint per game (44.0).
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