The New York Knicks (1-4) will try to slow down the NBA’s top scoring team when they square off against the Golden State Warriors (4-1) at Madison Square Garden. The game can be seen on NBATV at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, October 26, 2018.
Golden State is a 12-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 229.5 points.
Golden State Warriors vs. New York Knicks ATS Prediction
The Warriors come in on a high note after easily covering the 10.5-point spread against the Washington Wizards in their last outing, 144-122. The game’s total points (266) finished well over the O/U total of 236. Golden State’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over Washington. The Warriors had a rate of 27.0 (above their season average of 22.8), while the Wizards posted a mark of 15.6 (below the 26.3 mark opponents have averaged against Golden State this season). With 51 points on 15-for-24 shooting, Stephen Curry was the top scorer from either team.
The last time the Knicks played, they were blown out by the Miami Heat, 110-87. They were not able to cover as 8-point underdogs. The game’s total points (197) finished well under the O/U total of 218. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Miami’s largest strengths. They had 28 free throw attempts, while New York had just 14. Damyean Dotson had a good performance for New York, leading the team in scoring with 20 points on 8-for-14 shooting.
New York might struggle to find the bottom of the net as they face off against one of the league’s best defenses. Since the 2017-18 season, Golden State ranks fifth in defensive efficiency while the Knicks rank 24th in offensive efficiency.
Golden State is 4-1 straight up (SU), but they are just 2-3 against the spread (ATS). Warriors games have a tendency to finish under the projected point total (60.0 percent).
Although New York struggles winning games outright (1-4 SU), they have a phenomenal 4-1 record ATS. Games involving the Knicks also have a tendency to finish under the total (60.0 percent).
The Warriors won both contests against the Knicks last season. In the most recent contest, Golden State won 125-111. The Warriors made 22 of their 26 free throws (84.6 percent) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.606 vs. 0.542).
Golden State Warriors vs. New York Knicks Free Pick
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
New York is 15-4 when they allow less than 100 points, while Golden State is 23-7.
When scoring over 100 points, the Knicks are 29-33 and the Warriors are 74-17.
Golden State ranks first in fast break points per game (19.0) while New York ranks 29th (8.7).
The Knicks rank seventh in second chance points per game (13.4) while the Warriors rank 28th (10.6).
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (28.7) while New York ranks 22nd in assists allowed per game (23.9).
The Warriors rank fifth in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while the Knicks rank 24th (15.4).
Golden State ranks ninth in steals per game (8.0) while New York ranks 27th (6.8).
The Warriors rank 14th in three pointers attempted per game (29.4) while the Knicks rank 29th (23.8).
New York ranks ninth in points in the paint per game (46.5) while Golden State ranks 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (46.8).
The Warriors rank first in blocks per game (7.1) while the Knicks rank 11th (5.0).
Golden State ranks 14th in rebounds per game (43.9) while New York ranks 18th in rebounds allowed per game (43.6).
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