The Detroit Pistons (4-0) try to stay unbeaten when they go head-to-head against the Boston Celtics (3-2) at Little Caesars Arena. The game begins at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, October 27, 2018.
Boston opened as a 4-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 206.5 points.
Boston Celtics vs. Detroit Pistons ATS Prediction
The last time the Celtics played, they beat the Oklahoma City Thunder, 101-95, as 1-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (196) were well under the projected point total of 219.5. The Celtics knocked down 24 of their 33 free throws (72.7 percent) and had a turnover percentage of 9.9 (better than their season average of 12.1). Boston was lifted by Marcus Morris, who contributed 21 points and 10 rebounds.
The Pistons beat the Cleveland Cavaliers in their last outing, 110-103, but were unable to cover as 9.5-point favorites. The game’s combined points (213) were under the projected point total of 216.5. The Pistons had an absurd offensive rebounding percentage of 36.1 (above their season average of 28.6), while the Cavaliers had a free throw rate of 0.146 (below their season average of 0.213). Andre Drummond was the top scorer from either team with 26 points on 11-for-17 shooting.
Half-court execution will be critical when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams battle. Detroit ranks 21st in possessions per game (98.6) and Boston is 26th (97.8) since the 2017-18 season.
Since last season, the Celtics have had records of 58-29 straight up (SU) and 53-50-2 against the spread (ATS). A little over half of Boston games have finished under the O/U total since last season.
The Pistons, on the other hand, are 43-43 SU and 39-47 ATS since last season. Games including Detroit have had a tendency to finish under the projected point total over that same time frame (55.8 percent).
The Celtics won two out of three matchups against the Pistons last season. In the most recent game, Boston won 110-98. Boston’s effective field goal percentage was its largest advantage over Detroit. The Celtics had a rate of 0.582 while the Pistons posted a mark of 0.494.
Boston Celtics at Detroit Pistons Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Celtics, ATS Winner – Celtics, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Detroit is 22-6 and Boston is 44-8.
When scoring above 100 points, the Pistons are 39-19 and the Celtics are 54-16.
Boston ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (21.3) while Detroit ranks 26th (25.2).
The Celtics rank eighth in three pointers allowed per game (27.8) while the Pistons rank 25th (30.7).
Detroit ranks 18th in points in the paint per game (43.9) while Boston ranks 29th (40.0).
The Pistons rank 17th in points off turnovers per game (16.4) while the Celtics rank 25th (15.0).
Detroit ranks 19th in fast break points per game (10.8) while Boston ranks 27th (9.7).
The Celtics rank 10th in rebounds per game (44.2) while the Pistons rank 18th in rebounds allowed per game (43.6).
Boston ranks third in steals allowed per game (7.0) while Detroit ranks ninth (7.3).
The Celtics rank 21st in blocks per game (4.4) while the Pistons rank 27th (3.9).
Boston ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while Detroit ranks sixth (11.3).
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