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Ottawa Senators vs. Vegas Golden Knights Free Preview 10/28/18

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

T-Mobile Arena plays host to an East-West matchup as the Vegas Golden Knights welcome the visiting Ottawa Senators. The opening face-off is at 8 p.m. ET on Sunday, October 28, and you can catch it live on AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountain.

Ottawa Senators vs. Vegas Golden Knights Odds

Ottawa (+200) is entering this one as the underdog to Vegas (-240), and the oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at an even 6 goals (-120 for the under, +100 for the over).

The Golden Knights are 4-6 straight up (SU) and have lost 5.4 units for moneyline bettors this year. That early-season winning percentage is a regression from the 51-31 record that the team managed during the 2017-18 season campaign. Through 10 regular season contests, seven of its games have gone under the total, while three have gone over and none have pushed. The team is 2-3 SU at home thus far.

Vegas has converted on just 9.4 percent of its power play chances this year, a mark that’s ranked 30th overall in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill is rated 13th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 81.5 percent of all penalties.

Vegas, as a collective unit, has been penalized just 2.9 times per game this season, a number that has improved from last year’s 3.6 penalties per game the team gave up. After serving an average of 7.9 penalty minutes per game a year ago, the team’s had to kill penalties for 6.1 minutes per matchup this season.

Averaging 21.1 saves per game with a .900 save percentage, Marc-Andre Fleury (4-5-1) has been the top goalkeeper for the Golden Knights this season. If the Knights decide to rest him, however, the team could go with the winless Malcolm Subban (0-2-2 record, .871 save percentage, 2.71 goals against average).

The Knights will continue relying on leadership out of Jonathan Marchessault and William Karlsson. Marchessault (10 points) is up to five goals and five assists and has recorded multiple points four times this year. Karlsson has three goals and six assists to his name and has notched a point in five contests.

On the other hand, Ottawa is 4-5 straight up (SU) and has earned moneyline bettors 1.3 units this season. Through nine regular season matches, six of its games have gone over the total, while two have gone under the total and just one has pushed. As an away team, Ottawa is 1-2 SU so far.

Ottawa’s scored on 24.1 percent of its power play chances this year after successfully converting on 16.5 percent of its extra-man opportunities last season (a mark that was ranked just 26th in the NHL). The team has gone from successfully defending 76.1 percent of opponent power plays (ranked 27th overall last season) to 67.7 percent in 2018-19.

Ottawa’s players have been called for penalties 4.1 times per game this season, a number that is up a bit from the 3.5 penalties per game given up last year. After serving an average of 8.1 penalty minutes per game a season ago the team’s been forced to stave off opponent power plays for 8.8 minutes per outing this year.

Craig Anderson (33.4 saves per game) has been the primary option in goal for Ottawa. Anderson has four wins, four losses, and one OT loss to his credit, and has registered a .905 save percentage and 3.50 goals against average this year.

Thomas Chabot (three goals, eight assists) has been one of the most vital playmaking threats for the visiting Senators.

Ottawa Senators vs. Vegas Golden Knights Betting Predictions

Free NHL Tip: SU Winner – Golden Knights, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes

The total has gone under in each of Vegas’ last five games.

Ottawa has managed 26.3 shot attempts per game over its last five road games while Vegas is averaging 33.0 shots per game over its last five at home.

The Senators are 2-1 SU in games where they serve more penalty minutes than their opponent while the Golden Knights are 1-2 SU when they spend more time in the box than the opposition.

After going 4-3 in games decided by a shootout last year, Vegas is off to a 1-1 start in shootouts this season. Ottawa was 2-7 in shootouts last year and has yet to participate in one this time around.

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Written by GMS Previews

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