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Brooklyn Nets at New York Knicks Betting Preview 10/29/18

Knicks vs 76ers
Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Knicks (1-5) will attempt to put an end to their five-game losing streak when they challenge the Brooklyn Nets (2-4) at Madison Square Garden. The game can be seen on YES Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, October 29, 2018.

The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 217.5 points with New York opening as a 2-point favorite.

Brooklyn Nets at New York Knicks Free Prediction

The Nets are hoping for a better outcome after failing to cover as 9.5-point favorites in their 120-114 loss to the Golden State Warriors in their last contest. The combined points for the game (234) were just over the projected point total of 232. Golden State’s rebounding was their largest advantage. The Warriors had 12 offensive rebounds and 47 total rebounds, while the Nets had five and 37, respectively. D’Angelo Russell led Brooklyn in scoring with 25 points on 9-for-14 shooting.

In the Knicks’ last matchup, they lost big to the Golden State Warriors, 128-100. They were not able to cover as 11.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (228) came in just over the projected point total of 225. Golden State’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over New York. The Warriors had a rate of 0.678 (above their season average of 0.570), while the Knicks posted a mark of 0.506. With 24 points on 9-for-21 shooting, Tim Hardaway Jr. led New York in scoring.

New York figures to have an edge on the offensive glass in this contest. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, the Knicks rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (23.9 percent), while Brooklyn ranks 20th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.7 percent).

Although Brooklyn has trouble winning games straight up (2-4 SU), they have a solid record against the spread (3-2). Nets games tend to go under the total (60.0 percent).

New York has a phenomenal record ATS (4-2), despite being 1-5 SU. Vegas is extremely precise when predicting totals of Knicks games, with an even split between overs and unders.

This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, the Knicks lost 107-105 but covered as 4-point underdogs. Enes Kanter recorded 29 points and 10 rebounds. The game finished with a total of 212 points, which was 9.5 points below the projected point total of 221.5 points. The Nets had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (33.3 vs. 21.8) and had a better free throw rate (0.280 vs. 0.186).

Brooklyn Nets vs. New York Knicks Odds Pick

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Knicks, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

When holding opponents below 100 points, New York is 15-4 and Brooklyn is 14-1.

When scoring more than 100 points, the Nets are 26-39 and the Knicks are 29-34.

Brooklyn ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (35.6) while New York ranks 29th (24.0).

The Knicks rank eighth in second chance points per game (13.4) while the Nets rank last in second chance points allowed per game (13.7).

New York ranks eighth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.8) while Brooklyn ranks 25th (47.4).

The Knicks rank 11th in blocks allowed per game (4.8) while the Nets rank 27th (5.5).

New York averages 43.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. Brooklyn ranks last in rebounds allowed per game (46.6).

The Nets rank fifth in assists allowed per game (21.7) while the Knicks rank 21st (23.9).

Brooklyn ranks 22nd in fast break points per game (10.5) while New York ranks 29th (8.8).

The Knicks rank 24th in points off turnovers per game (15.4) while the Nets rank last (13.9).

New York ranks 28th in steals per game (6.8) while Brooklyn ranks last (6.2).

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Written by GMS Previews

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