The Memphis Grizzlies (3-2) meet the Washington Wizards (1-5) at FedExForum. The game starts at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, October 30, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Southeast.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 219.5 points with Memphis set as a 2-point favorite.
Washington Wizards vs. Memphis Grizzlies ATS Prediction
In the Wizards’ last matchup, they were thoroughly outplayed by the Los Angeles Clippers, 136-104, and failed to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (240) finished over the projected point total of 228.5. Los Angeles’ 0.621 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Washington, who had a mark of 0.418. The Clippers’ mark was above their season average of 0.511, while the Wizards’ was below their season average of 0.509. Washington’s John Wall had a solid outing, recording 18 points and five assists.
The Grizzlies easily got past the Phoenix Suns in their last outing, 117-96, easily covering as 7.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (213) finished over the O/U total of 207. The Grizzlies forced 19 turnovers and had a free throw rate of 0.253 (above their season average of 0.245). Marc Gasol led Memphis in scoring with 19 points on 8-for-16 shooting.
It could be a sloppy game for the Memphis offense. Since last season, Memphis ranks 27th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.7 percent), while the gambling defense of Washington has forced the fifth-most turnovers in the NBA (14.5 percent).
Washington holds records of 1-5 straight up (SU) and 1-5 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to set the total low when the Wizards are involved, as five of their 6 games have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Memphis is 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS. Contrary to Washington, games featuring the Grizzlies have typically gone under the total (60.0 percent).
The Wizards won both contests against the Grizzlies last season. In the last matchup, Washington won 102-100. The Wizards made 26 of their 34 free throws (76.5 percent) and had a better turnover percentage (11.6 vs. 14.1).
Washington Wizards vs. Memphis Grizzlies Free Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
When holding opponents below 100 points, Washington is 20-4 and Memphis is 15-13.
The Grizzlies are 19-23 when they reach 100 points, while the Wizards are 43-27.
Washington ranks fifth in assists per game (24.8) while Memphis ranks 26th (21.6).
The Grizzlies rank fourth in points allowed in the paint per game (42.5) while the Wizards rank 19th (46.0).
Washington averages 17.3 points off turnovers per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Memphis ranks 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1).
The Wizards rank 12th in fast break points per game (12.6) while the Grizzlies rank 26th in fast break points allowed per game (14.4).
Washington averages 7.9 steals per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Memphis ranks 21st in steals allowed per game (7.9).
The Wizards rank 21st in rebounds per game (42.9) while the Grizzlies rank last (40.5).
Washington ranks 17th in blocks per game (4.5) while Memphis ranks 22nd in blocks allowed per game (5.1).
The Grizzlies rank 21st in second chance points per game (11.6) while the Wizards rank 24th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4).
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