A couple of schools that prefer to run the football, Head Coach Dan Mullen and the No. 13 Florida Gators (-6) are gearing up to welcome their conference counterpart Missouri Tigers at Florida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. This vital afternoon game kicks off at 4:00 p.m. ET and SEC Network is scheduled to have the TV rights.
Missouri Tigers vs. Florida Gators Betting Preview
In this Saturday Southeastern matchup, Florida is tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 6 points. The Tigers are also receiving +190 moneyline odds while the Gators are -240. There could be some good in-game betting scenarios for the matchup, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 59 points.
The game’s total has swung down after opening at 60.5. The original line of -6 has yet to change.
The Tigers are down 2.4 units so far in 2018 and 3-4-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 5-2. The Gators are down 1.8 units this season. The team is 6-2 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-4.
The Tigers have gone 4-4 straight up (SU), including 0-4 SU against conference opponents. The Gators are 6-2 SU overall and 4-2 SU in conference play.
The Tigers look to bounce back after a 15-14 loss to Kentucky last week. Drew Lock completed just 15 passes on 27 attempts for 165 yards. Larry Rountree III (only 45 yards on 14 rush attempts, one TD) and Damarea Crockett (46 yards on 11 carries, one TD) led the running attack while Johnathon Johnson (four receptions, 71 yards) and Crockett (three catches, 20 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Back on October 27, Georgia knocked off this Florida crew by a score of 36-17. The Gators defense allowed the Bulldogs to rush for 189 yards on 41 attempts, along with one rushing TD. D’Andre Swift put up a good showing in the win, recording 104 rushing yards and a score on 12 attempts for Georgia. For Florida, Feleipe Franks completed 13-of-21 passes for 105 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Lamical Perine (62 yards on 14 rush attempts) handled the running attack as Kadarius Toney (three receptions, 18 yards) and Freddie Swain (two catches, 38 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Missouri has run the ball on 53.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Florida has an overall rush percentage of 59.6 percent. The Tigers have run for 186 yards/game (including 153 per game against Southeastern opponents) and have 17 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Gators are putting up 194 rush yards per game (187 in conference) and have 11 total rushing TDs.
The Tigers offense has averaged 284 yards in the air overall (183 per game against conference opposition) and has 16 passing TDs so far. The Gators have put up 198 pass yards per outing (203.7 in the SEC) and have 17 total pass scores.
Defensively, Missouri has let opponents rush for an average of 127 yards and pass for 288 yards per game. The Florida defense has given up 170.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 166.4 yards per game on the ground. The Gators are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.38 to opposing QBs, while the Tigers have allowed an 8.00 ANY/A.
Offensively, Lock has put up 1,794 passing yards this season. He’s completed 58 percent of his 250 attempts with 12 passing scores and six interceptions. Lock has a 6.47 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 9.97 over the past two outings.
In the other huddle, Feleipe Franks has managed to complete 97-of-174 passes for 1,227 yards, 14 TDs and five INTs. Franks’ ANY/A sits at 6.82 for the season and 6.38 over his past two games.
When these two programs met last year, Missouri won soundly 45-16.
RELATED: Week 10 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Betting Pick: Missouri Tigers at Florida Gators
SU Winner – Florida, ATS Winner – Florida, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Florida defensive unit has registered 22 sacks on the year while Missouri has just 13.
The Florida offense has lost six fumbles in 2018 while the Missouri offense has let four get away.
The Tigers offense has recorded 10 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Gators have put up four such plays.
The Missouri defense has allowed 13 pass plays of 40+ yards, while Florida has given up three such plays.
The Missouri offense has created nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Florida has created 13 such runs.
The Tigers defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Gators have given up 16 such runs.
The O/U for Florida’s last outing was set at 53.5. The under cashed in that 36-17 defeat to Georgia.
Over its last three matches, Florida is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
In its last three contests, Missouri is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Missouri’s last game was 54.5. The under cashed in the team’s 15-14 loss to Kentucky.
As a team, Missouri has produced 3.9 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.8 over its last two.
Florida has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.6 over its past two.
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