The Texas State Bobcats (+7) are heading east to face their conference nemesis Georgia State Panthers at Parker H. Petit Field at Georgia State Stadium. Kickoff for this showdown is scheduled for 2:00 p.m. ET and ESPN+ will broadcast the action.
Texas State Bobcats at Georgia State Panthers Betting Preview
In this Saturday Sun Belt game, Georgia State is labeled as the favorite and is currently giving up 7 points. The Bobcats are also receiving +210 moneyline odds while the Panthers are -270. It appears that there should be some good live betting opportunities in this game, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 54.5 points.
With the game’s total initially set at 55.5, the under has gotten most of the early sharp action.
The Bobcats are 4-3-1 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 5.0 units so far. They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U record of 3-5. The Panthers have lost 1.1 units this season. The team is 2-5-1 ATS and owns an O/U record of 4-3.
The Bobcats have gone 2-6 straight up (SU), including 0-4 SU against conference opponents. The Panthers are 2-6 SU overall and 1-3 SU in conference play.
The Bobcats enter after a 27-20 win over New Mexico State last weekTheir defense allowed the Aggies to rush for 153 yards on 33 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Jason Huntley had a good day for the Aggies in that one with 83 rushing yards and a score on 11 attempts, along with 56 yards on five catches. On the offensive side of the ball, Willie Jones III completed just nine passes on 18 attempts for 113 yards and two touchdowns. Jones III (110 yards on 19 rush attempts, one TD) also spearheaded the ground attack in the win and was complemented by Robert Brown, Jr. (95 yards on 17 carries). Jeremiah Haydel (two receptions, 58 yards, one TD) and Javen Banks (two catches, 30 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.
Georgia State narrowly dropped a 37-34 game to Coastal Carolina. The team’s defensive unit let the Chanticleers kill the clock by running for 251 yards on 48 rush attempts, including three rush TDs. Torrance Marable was a force to be reckoned with, putting up 128 rushing yards and a score on 12 attempts, along with 48 yards on one catch for Coastal Carolina. For Georgia State, Dan Ellington completed 14-of-25 passes for 231 yards and one touchdown. Seth Paige (59 rushing yards on 12 attempts, one TD) and Tra Barnett (161 yards on 11 carries, two TDs) mounted the ground game in the defeat while Penny Hart (six receptions, 118 yards, one TD) and Cornelius McCoy (three catches, 45 yards) led the receiving attack.
Each squad has a remarkably similar (57-43) run-pass ratio on the season. The Bobcats have rushed for 143 yards/game (including 129 per game against Sun Belt opponents) and have nine touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Panthers are logging 163 rushing yards per game (209 in conference) and have 15 total rush TDs.
The Bobcats offense has tallied 180 yards/contest through the air overall (191 per game against conference opposition) and has 12 passing TDs so far. The Panthers have produced 229 pass yards per contest (245.3 against SBC foes) and have 10 total pass scores.
Texas State seems to possess an edge in both areas of the defense. The team’s allowed opponents to rush for an average of 174 yards and pass for 199 yards per game. The Georgia State defense has allowed 245.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 248.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bobcats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.40 to opponents, while the Panthers have given up an ugly 8.98 ANY/A.
Offensively, Vitt is up to 765 passing yards this year. The signal-caller has completed 66 percent of his 114 attempts with six scores through the air and four interceptions. He’s got a 4.99 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 3.43 over the past two outings.
In the other locker room, Dan Ellington has managed to complete 118-of-190 passes for 1,455 yards, six TDs and two INTs. Ellington’s ANY/A stands at 6.67 for the season and 9.71 over his last two games.
These two teams faced off last year with the final outcome being a 33-30 victory for Georgia State.
RELATED: Week 10 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
NCAA Prediction: Texas State Bobcats at Georgia State Panthers
SU Winner – Georgia State, ATS Winner – Georgia State, O/U – Under
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Trends
The Texas State D has 11 sacks on the year while Georgia State has nine.
The Georgia State offense has lost 10 fumbles in 2018 while the Texas State offense has lost seven.
The Bobcats offense has registered four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Panthers have put up seven such plays.
The Texas State defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Georgia State has given up seven such plays.
The Texas State offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Georgia State has created nine such runs.
The Bobcats defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Panthers have given up 19 such runs.
The Over/Under for Georgia State’s last game going into it was 60. The over cashed in the team’s 37-34 loss to Coastal Carolina.
In its last three contests, Georgia State is 0-2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
Over its last three matches, Texas State is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
Georgia State has dropped seven of its last eight games SU, with a 32-point win over Louisiana-Monroe on September 29th accounting for the only victory over that stretch.
The O/U for Texas State’s previous game was 57. The under cashed in the team’s 27-20 win over New Mexico State.
Texas State has produced 4.0 yards per carry across its last three contests and 4.3 over its last two.
Georgia State has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.4 over its past two.
*****
