The No. 11 Wildcats (+9.5) are ready to welcome the No. 6 Georgia Bulldogs (-9.5) to Kentucky. CBS is scheduled to have the TV rights and this important conference game kicks off at 3:30 p.m. ET. When these two teams faced each other a year ago, Georgia won handily 42-13.
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Kentucky Wildcats Betting Preview
Kentucky is projected to play the role of underdog and is currently getting 9.5 points in this Saturday SEC game. The Bulldogs are also receiving -370 moneyline odds while the Wildcats are +290. If one school can create a bunch of points early it’ll create a worthy in-game betting scenario. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 43.5 points.
This game’s opening line was 10, while the total hasn’t moved after it was set initially at 43.5.
The Bulldogs have gained 0.3 units so far in 2018 and are 4-3-1 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-4. The surprising Wildcats have gained 11.8 units this season. The team is 4-4 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-6.
The Bulldogs are 7-1 straight up (SU), including 5-1 SU against SEC opponents. The Wildcats are 7-1 SU overall and 5-1 SU in conference play.
The Bulldogs are coming off a resounding 36-17 victory over Florida last week where Jake Fromm completed 17 passes on 24 attempts for 240 yards and three touchdowns. Elijah Holyfield (71 rushing yards on 20 attempts) and D’Andre Swift (104 yards on 12 carries, one TD) led the ground attack while Isaac Nauta (five receptions, 73 yards) and Jeremiah Holloman (four catches, 48 yards, two TDs) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Kentucky is coming off of a 15-14 win over Missouri. The team’s defense held its ground in the victory, limiting the Tigers to just 165 passing yards and 84 rushing yards. Johnathon Johnson had a productive showing in the loss, posting 71 yards on four catches for Missouri. As a group, the Wildcats collectively completed 25-of-39 passes for 294 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Terry Wilson went 22-for-31 for 267 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Gunnar Hoak was three-of-eight for 27 yards. Benny Snell (67 rushing yards on 19 attempts) and the signal-caller Wilson (11 yards on 10 carries) led the running game as Lynn Bowden (13 receptions, 166 yards) and David Bouvier (two catches, 43 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Georgia has run the ball on 60.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Kentucky has an overall rush percentage of 65.8 percent. The Bulldogs have run for 222 yards per game (including 205 per game against Southeastern opponents) and have 17 scores on the ground this year. The Wildcats are logging 214 rush yards per game (195 in conference) and have 17 total rushing TDs.
The Dawgs offensive scheme has averaged 236 yards in the air overall (240 per game against conference opposition) and has 18 passing scores so far. The Wildcats have put up 148 pass yards per outing (129.0 in the SEC) and have eight total pass TDs.
Georgia should possess an advantage when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s allowed opponents to rush for an average of 141 yards and throw for 166 yards per game. The Kentucky D has allowed 186.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 108.5 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Dawgs have given up an ANY/A of 4.49 to opposing QBs, while the Wildcats are yielding an ANY/A of 4.16.
Offensively, Fromm has put up 1,440 passing yards this season, and has connected on 72 percent of his 138 attempts with 15 passing scores and only two interceptions. Fromm has a 10.99 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 6.52 over the last two outings.
Terry Wilson has completed 97-of-144 passes for 970 yards, four TDs and six INTs for Kentucky. His ANY/A stands at an ultra-pedestrian 4.45 for the season and 6.14 across his past two outings.
RELATED: Week 10 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
NCAA Tip: Georgia Bulldogs at Kentucky Wildcats
SU Winner – Georgia, ATS Winner – Georgia, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Kentucky defense has notched more than double the sack total of Georgia this season (22 to 10).
The Kentucky offense has lost five fumbles this season while Georgia has lost three.
The Bulldogs offense has recorded six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Wildcats have accounted for five such plays.
Both teams have allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards. The Georgia defense has given up eight pass plays of 30+ yards while Kentucky has given up 10 such plays.
The Georgia offense has created 15 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Kentucky has created 17 such runs.
The Bulldogs defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Wildcats have given up six such runs.
The O/U for Kentucky’s last game going into it was 54.5. The under cashed in the team’s 15-14 triumph over Missouri.
Over its last three contests, Kentucky is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
In its last three games, Georgia is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Georgia’s last game going into it was 53.5. The under cashed in the team’s 36-17 victory over Florida.
Georgia has produced 5.0 yards per carry over its past three games and 4.3 over its last two.
Kentucky has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.2 over its last two.
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