The Golden State Warriors (7-1) will attempt to prolong their five-game winning streak against the New Orleans Pelicans (4-2) at ORACLE Arena. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 31, 2018, and will air on NBC Sports – Bay Area.
New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction
Although the Pelicans were beaten by the Denver Nuggets in their last matchup, 116-111, they were able to cover as 9.5-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (227) finished just under the projected point total of 230. Denver’s 11.2 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over New Orleans, who had a rate of 19.5. The Nuggets’ mark was better than their season average of 11.5, while the Pelicans’ was above their season average of 10.4. New Orleans’ Nikola Mirotic had a solid performance, contributing 17 points and 10 rebounds.
The last time the Warriors played, they won big over the Chicago Bulls, 149-124, comfortably covering as 11-point favorites. The game’s total points (273) finished well over the O/U total of 228. Golden State’s 0.677 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Chicago, who had a rate of 0.542. The Warriors’ mark was above their season average of 0.583. Klay Thompson was the game’s leading scorer with 52 points on 18-for-29 shooting.
Golden State figures to have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, the Warriors rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Pelicans rank 13th in defensive efficiency.
New Orleans heads into the contest with records of 4-2 straight up (SU) and 4-2 against the spread (ATS). Of the Pelicans’ six games, three have finished over, two have finished under and one has pushed.
Meanwhile, Golden State owns records of 7-1 SU and 4-4 ATS. Of the Warriors’ 8 games, 5 have finished over the total.
The Warriors won seven out of nine meetings against the Pelicans last season. In the last matchup, Golden State won 113-104. Golden State had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (21.6 vs. 8.9). New Orleans, meanwhile, did a terrific job of making free throws (12-16; 75.0 percent).
New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors ATS Pick
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
New Orleans is 13-2 when they allow under 100 points, while Golden State is 23-7.
The Warriors are 77-17 when they score over 100 points, while the Pelicans are 53-27.
Golden State ranks first in fast break points per game (19.0) while New Orleans ranks 28th in fast break points allowed per game (14.6).
The Pelicans average 53.3 points in the paint per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Warriors rank 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (46.8).
Golden State averages 28.7 assists per game, which ranks first in the NBA. New Orleans ranks 22nd in assists allowed per game (24.0).
The Pelicans average 8.0 steals per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Warriors rank 27th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
Golden State ranks sixth in rebounds allowed per game (42.5) while New Orleans ranks 25th (45.5).
The Warriors average 17.4 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
New Orleans ranks 16th in second chance points per game (12.2) while Golden State ranks 29th (10.7).
The Warriors rank 15th in three pointers attempted per game (29.6) while the Pelicans rank 26th in three pointers allowed per game (30.9).
Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while New Orleans ranks fourth (4.3).
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