The New York Knicks (2-5) go head-to-head against the Indiana Pacers (4-3) at Madison Square Garden. The game will air on ESPN at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 31, 2018.
Indiana opened as a 5.5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 211.5 points.
Indiana Pacers at New York Knicks ATS Prediction
The Pacers are hoping to rebound after not being able to cover as 3.5-point favorites in their 103-93 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers in their last outing. The total points for the game (196) were well under the projected point total of 215. Portland’s 24.3 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over Indiana, who had a mark of 14.6. The Trail Blazers’ mark was below their season average of 25.3, while the Pacers’ was below their season average of 22.4. Victor Oladipo was the game’s leading scorer with 21 points on 9-for-24 shooting.
In the Knicks’ last matchup, they had no trouble getting past the Brooklyn Nets, 115-96, comfortably covering as 1-point favorites. The total points for the game (211) finished under the O/U total of 215. New York won the rebounding battle. The Knicks had 16 offensive rebounds and 53 total rebounds, while the Nets had 11 and 32, respectively. Tim Hardaway Jr. was the game’s leading scorer with 25 points on 8-for-19 shooting.
It could be a mistake-prone game for the New York offense. Since last season, New York ranks 21st in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.1 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Indiana has forced the second-most turnovers in the NBA (15.1 percent).
Indiana holds records of 4-3 straight up (SU) and 4-3 against the spread (ATS). Pacers games tend to go over the projected point total (57.1 percent).
New York has an excellent 5-2 record ATS, despite being 2-5 SU. Unlike Indiana, games involving the Knicks have typically gone under the O/U total (57.1 percent).
The Pacers won two out of three matchups against the Knicks last season. In the most recent matchup, Indiana won 121-113. The Pacers’ 32.7 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over the Knicks, who had a rate of 24.0.
Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
When allowing under 100 points, New York is 16-4 and Indiana is 31-5.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the Knicks are 30-34 and the Pacers are 44-19.
Indiana ranks second in steals per game (8.7) while New York ranks 28th (6.8).
The Pacers rank fifth in fast break points per game (15.1) while the Knicks rank 29th (8.7).
Indiana ranks second in points off turnovers per game (18.6) while New York ranks 24th (15.4).
The Knicks rank 12th in rebounds per game (44.0) while the Pacers rank 25th (42.0).
New York ranks 14th in blocks per game (4.9) while Indiana ranks 26th (4.1).
The Knicks rank seventh in second chance points per game (13.6) while the Pacers rank 15th in second chance points allowed per game (12.5).
Indiana ranks 26th in three pointers attempted per game (24.6) while New York ranks 29th (24.0).
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