The Washington Wizards (1-6) square off with the Oklahoma City Thunder (3-4) at Capital One Arena. The game can be seen on ESPN at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, November 2, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 231.5 points with Washington set as a 3-point favorite.
Oklahoma City Thunder at Washington Wizards Betting Prediction
The Thunder come in on a high note after topping the Charlotte Hornets in their last outing, 111-107, as 3.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (218) were under the O/U total of 228.5. The Thunder forced 17 turnovers and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (25.9 vs. 23.9). With 29 points on 12-for-24 shooting, Russell Westbrook was the top scorer from either team.
In the Wizards’ last game, they lost to the Memphis Grizzlies, 107-95. They were not able to cover as 1-point underdogs. The total points for the game (202) came in well under the O/U total of 220.5. Memphis’ turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Washington. The Grizzlies had a rate of 14.6 (worse than their season average of 11.1), while the Wizards posted a mark of 19.5 (above their season average of 11.5). Washington’s John Wall had a good game, leading both teams in scoring with 22 points on 9-for-15 shooting.
These two teams split two games last season. In the most recent matchup, the Wizards won 102-96. Washington had a much better turnover percentage (10.5 vs. 17.4). Oklahoma City, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.0 vs. 15.6).
Oklahoma City comes into the game with records of 3-4 straight up (SU) and 2-4 against the spread (ATS). Thunder games have no tendency in regards to the projected point total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, Washington owns records of 1-6 SU and 1-6 ATS. Wizards games tend to finish over the projected point total (71.4 percent).
It could be a mistake-prone game for the Washington offense. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, Washington ranks 19th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.0 percent), while the pesky defense of Oklahoma City has forced the most turnovers in the NBA (15.4 percent).
Oklahoma City Thunder at Washington Wizards Odds Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Thunder, O/U – Over
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Each team is strong when keeping the opposition to less than 100 points, as Oklahoma City is 23-6 and Washington is 20-4.
The Thunder are 49-21 when they reach the century mark, while the Wizards are 43-27.
Oklahoma City ranks first in second chance points per game (15.2) while Washington ranks 24th in second chance points allowed per game (13.3).
The Wizards rank fifth in assists per game (24.8) while the Thunder rank 28th (20.9).
Oklahoma City averages 19.1 points off turnovers per game, which ranks first in the league. Washington ranks 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1).
The Thunder average 9.2 steals per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Wizards rank 18th in steals allowed per game (7.8).
Oklahoma City ranks fifth in rebounds per game (45.2) while Washington ranks 21st (42.8).
The Thunder average 15.2 fast break points per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Wizards rank 14th in fast break points allowed per game (11.9).
Oklahoma City averages 30.3 three pointers per game, which ranks 11th in the league. Washington ranks 15th in three pointers allowed per game (29.3).
The Thunder rank 17th in points in the paint per game (44.1) while the Wizards rank 19th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.0).
Oklahoma City averages 5.1 blocks per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Washington ranks 11th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
*****
