It will be a battle between Southeast Division opponents when the Atlanta Hawks (2-6) welcome the Miami Heat (3-4) to State Farm Arena. The game will air on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 3, 2018.
Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks Betting Prediction
The last time the Heat played, they were defeated by the Charlotte Hornets, 125-113, and were unable to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (238) came in well over the projected point total of 221. Charlotte made good use of their 29 trips to the charity stripe, making 24 of them (82.8 percent). Miami, meanwhile, was 20-24 (83.3 percent). Hassan Whiteside played well for Miami, finishing with 16 points and 12 rebounds.
The Hawks got blown out by the Sacramento Kings in their last game, 146-115. They were unable to cover as 2-point underdogs. The total points for the game (261) were well over the O/U total of 233. Sacramento’s 11.1 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Atlanta, who had a rate of 17.7. The Kings’ mark was better than their season average of 12.3, while the Hawks’ was above the 13.8 mark opponents have averaged against Sacramento this season. Atlanta’s Trae Young put up 14 points and 10 assists in the contest.
The Heat won three out of four contests against the Hawks last season. In the most recent game, Miami won 115-86. The Heat had a better turnover percentage (9.8 vs. 13.3) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.537 vs. 0.417).
Miami holds records of 3-4 straight up (SU) and 3-4 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to place the total low when the Heat are involved, as 71.4 percent of their games have ended over the total.
Meanwhile, Atlanta owns records of 2-6 SU and 2-6 ATS. Coinciding with Miami, Hawks games also have a tendency to go over the total (62.5 percent).
Atlanta might have difficulty finding the bottom of the net as they clash against one of the NBA’s best defenses. Miami ranks sixth in defensive efficiency, while the Hawks rank 27th in offensive efficiency since the 2017-18 season.
Miami Heat vs. Atlanta Hawks Free Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Heat, ATS Winner – Heat, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
When allowing under 100 points, Miami is 28-6 and Atlanta is 12-5.
The Hawks are 22-35 when they score more than 100 points, while the Heat are 36-25.
Miami ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (21.3) while Atlanta ranks last (26.2).
The Heat rank sixth in blocks per game (5.5) while the Hawks rank 25th in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
Miami ranks 14th in steals allowed per game (7.5) while Atlanta ranks 28th (8.8).
The Heat average 30.6 three pointers per game, which ranks 11th in the league. The Hawks rank 24th in three pointers allowed per game (30.9).
Miami ranks 14th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.3) while Atlanta ranks 27th (18.3).
The Heat rank 16th in points in the paint per game (44.7) while the Hawks rank 28th (41.9).
Atlanta ranks 21st in fast break points per game (10.9) while Miami ranks 27th (9.7).
The Heat average 43.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 16th in the NBA. The Hawks rank 22nd in rebounds allowed per game (44.7).
Atlanta ranks 21st in second chance points per game (11.8) while Miami ranks 26th (11.5).
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