The Milwaukee Bucks (8-1) visit Portland to take on the Trail Blazers (7-3) in a matchup that pits phenomenal offense against stifling defense. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 6, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 226.5 points with Portland set as a 2-point favorite.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Portland Trail Blazers Betting Prediction
In the Bucks’ last matchup, they easily covered the 10-point spread against the Sacramento Kings, 144-109. The game’s total points (253) finished well over the O/U total of 236. The Bucks knocked down 30 of their 33 free throws (90.9 percent) and held the Kings to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.8 (below their season average of 21.7). Milwaukee rallied around Giannis Antetokounmpo, who recorded his first triple-double of the season. He took over, collecting 26 points, 15 rebounds and 11 assists.
The Trail Blazers won big over the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last outing, 111-81, easily covering as 6-point favorites. The combined points for the game (192) finished well under the projected point total of 228. The Trail Blazers had a phenomenal offensive rebounding percentage of 40.5 (above their season average of 24.7) and had a free throw rate of 0.326 (above their season average of 0.239). Jusuf Nurkic was Portland’s high scorer with 19 points on 8-for-11 shooting from the field.
The Bucks won both matchups against the Trail Blazers last season. In the most recent game, Milwaukee won 103-91. The Bucks’ 8.8 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Trail Blazers, who had a rate of 17.4.
Milwaukee holds records of 8-1 straight up (SU) and 6-3 against the spread (ATS). Of the Bucks’ nine games, seven have gone over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Portland is 7-3 SU and 7-3 ATS. Trail Blazers games also have typically gone over the total (60.0 percent).
This showdown pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Dating back to last season, Portland ranks fifth in offensive efficiency and Milwaukee ranks first in defensive efficiency.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Portland Trail Blazers Odds Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Portland is 29-8 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Milwaukee is 21-6.
The Bucks are 48-23 when they reach 100 points, while the Trail Blazers are 51-24.
Milwaukee ranks second in assists per game (23.4) while Portland ranks 28th (19.6).
The Bucks rank fourth in blocks per game (5.6) while the Trail Blazers rank 26th in blocks allowed per game (5.3).
Milwaukee ranks 12th in points off turnovers per game (17.8) while Portland ranks 29th (14.2).
The Bucks rank second in second chance points allowed per game (13.0) while the Trail Blazers rank 18th (11.9).
Portland ranks 12th in three pointers allowed per game (26.9) while Milwaukee ranks 27th (28.3).
The Bucks rank fourth in fast break points allowed per game (10.1) while the Trail Blazers rank 19th (11.9).
Milwaukee averages 41.1 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the league. Portland ranks 16th in rebounds allowed per game (43.2).
The Bucks rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (46.4) while the Trail Blazers rank 15th (43.3).
Milwaukee ranks 24th in steals per game (8.4) while Portland ranks 25th (6.9).
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