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College Football Free Pick: Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes (+4) are heading north to battle the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Bobby Dodd Stadium at Historic Grant Field. Kickoff for this pivotal conference game is pegged for 7:00 p.m. ET and interested parties can tune in to the action on ESPN2. When the two teams met a year ago, Miami (FL) emerged victorious by a final score of 25-24.

Miami (FL) Hurricanes at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Betting Preview

In this Saturday Atlantic Coast game, Georgia Tech is labeled as the favorite and is currently giving up 4 points. The Hurricanes are also receiving +155 moneyline odds while the Yellow Jackets are -175. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 55.5 points. If the favorites give up points early, it would likely generate a worthy live betting opportunity.

The opening line was initially -5 and the game’s total was originally set at 56, so sharp bettors are prefering the Hurricanes.

The less-than-stellar Hurricanes are down 6.9 units so far and 3-6 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 5-4. The Yellow Jackets have lost 2.4 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-5 ATS and have an O/U record of 6-2.

The Hurricanes have gone 5-4 straight up (SU), including 2-3 SU against ACC opponents. The Yellow Jackets are 5-4 SU overall and 3-3 SU in conference play.

Georgia Tech enters this matchup on a three-game losing streak while Miami (FL) has come out on top in its last two in a row. The Hurricanes look to get back on track after a 20-12 defeat to Duke last week. the Hurricanes completed 13-of-28 passes for 111 yards. N’Kosi Perry went five-for-16 for 35 yards while Malik Rosier completed eight-of-12 for 76 yards. Travis Homer (133 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) and DeeJay Dallas (124 yards on 12 carries, one TD) mounted the ground attack while Jeff Thomas (four receptions, 15 yards) and Brevin Jordan (three catches, 26 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

Georgia Tech just put together a 38-28 win over North Carolina. The team’s defensive unit let the Tar Heels run for 166 yards on 36 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. Anthony Ratliff-Williams was a bright spot in the loss, recording 103 yards and a score on four catches for North Carolina. As a group, the Yellow Jackets collectively completed two-of-two passes for 104 yards and one touchdown. Tobias Oliver went two-for-two for 104 yards and one touchdown while Omahri Jarrett was -of- for yards. Oliver (120 yards on 28 rush attempts, two TDs) and Jordan Mason (40 yards on 12 carries) mounted the running game as Jerry Howard (one receptions, 18 yards) and Qua Searcy (one catch, 86 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

Miami (FL) has run the ball on 58.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Georgia Tech has a rush percentage of 86.2 percent. The Hurricanes have run for 197 yards/game (including 187 per game against Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 18 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Yellow Jackets are logging 377 rushing yards per game (361 in conference) and have 41 total rush TDs.

The Hurricanes offensive scheme has averaged 193 yards in the air overall (156 per game versus conference opposition) and has 17 passing TDs so far. The Yellow Jackets have recorded 90 pass yards per outing (60.7 in the ACC) and have five total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, Miami (FL) seems to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 124 rush yards and 141 pass yards per game. The Georgia Tech D has given up 224.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 138.2 yards per game to opposing runners. The Hurricanes are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 2.55 to opposing QBs, while the Yellow Jackets have allowed a 5.85 ANY/A.

Offensively, Rosier has put up 857 passing yards on the year. He’s completed 58-of-108 attempts with five scores through the air and three interceptions. He’s got a 6.64 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 2.44 over the past two outings.

The Hurricanes will likely try to maintain tempo by getting the ball into the hands of their running backs. Travis Homer (662 rush yards, two rush TDs, 68 receiving yards) and DeeJay Dallas (517 rush yards, three rush TDs) have brought significant production to the offensive game scripts for Miami (FL).

Tobias Oliver has connected on 6-of-11 passes for 166 yards, two TDs and zero INTs for Georgia Tech. His ANY/A sits at 13.64 for the season and 29.75 over his past two games.

The Yellow Jackets will also try to dictate the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. In addition to Tobias Oliver (zero receiving yards), Jerry Howard (347 rush yards, three rush TDs) and Qua Searcy (278 rush yards, two rush TDs, 196 receiving yards, one TD) have gotten a lot of touches lately.

RELATED: Week 11 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions 

Free Prediction: Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

SU Winner – Georgia Tech, ATS Winner – Georgia Tech, O/U – Under

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Notes

Betting Notes

The O/U for Miami (FL)’s previous game was set at 50.5. The under cashed in the team’s 20-12 loss to Duke.

Miami (FL) has averaged 5.5 yards per rush attempt across its past three games and 5.7 over its last two.

Georgia Tech has averaged 5.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 6.1 over its past two.

Georgia Tech has lost 11 fumbles this season while Miami (FL) has lost six.

In its last three games, Miami (FL) is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for Georgia Tech’s previous matchup was set at 64. The over cashed in the 38-28 victory over North Carolina.

In its last three games, Georgia Tech is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Georgia Tech has won five of its last six games SU, with a -14-point loss to Duke on October 13th accounting for the lone slip-up over that span.

The Hurricanes offense has produced six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Yellow Jackets have put up three such plays.

The Miami (FL) defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Georgia Tech has given up seven such plays.

The Miami (FL) offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Georgia Tech has created 31 such runs.

The Hurricanes defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Yellow Jackets have given up seven such runs.

The Miami (FL) defense has more than twice as many sacks as Georgia Tech this year (27 versus 13).

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Written by GMS Previews

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