The Maryland Terrapins (+3) are set to take on their Big 10 rival Indiana Hoosiers (-3) at Memorial Stadium. The opening kickoff for this game is scheduled for 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can witness the action live on BTN.
Maryland Terrapins vs. Indiana Hoosiers Betting Preview
In this Saturday Big Ten game, Indiana is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Terrapins are also receiving +135 moneyline odds while the Hoosiers are -155. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 55 points. There could be multiple solid in-game betting possibilities during this showdown.
This matchup’s betting odds have shifted some from where they were originally posted. The line opened at -3 while the game’s O/U was set initially at 54.5.
The underwhelming Terrapins are down 6.5 units so far and 5-4 against the spread (ATS). The team has recorded an Over-Under mark of 4-5. The Hoosiers are down 0.4 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-6 ATS and six of their games have gone over the total.
The Terrapins are 5-4 straight up (SU), including 3-3 SU against conference opponents. The Hoosiers are 4-5 SU overall and 1-5 SU in conference play.
The Terps are on the rebound after a 24-3 defeat to Michigan State last week. The passing game the primary culprit Kasim Hill completed only eight passes on 21 attempts for 74 yards. The Terrapins rushed for just 26 yards as a team in the loss.
Two weeks ago, Minnesota knocked off this Indiana crew by a score of 38-31. Peyton Ramsey completed 29-of-44 passes for 232 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Stevie Scott (96 rushing yards on 18 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Ramsey (57 yards on eight carries) spearheaded the running attack as Luke Timian (seven receptions, 48 yards) and J-Shun Harris II (five catches, 34 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Maryland has run the ball on 65.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Indiana has a rush percentage of 47.2 percent. The Terrapins have produced 222 rush yards per game (including 213 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have 19 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Hoosiers are totaling 158 rush yards per game (120 in conference) and have 12 total rushing TDs.
If 2018 results can translate to this game, then it appears the Terrapins could own the advantage in terms of RB efficiency, since their backfield has produced 5.8 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 4.0 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Hoosiers have registered 4.3 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 4.3 to opponents.
The Terps offense has logged 125 yards/game through the air overall (113 per game versus conference opposition) and has 10 passing scores so far. The Hoosiers have put up 257 pass yards per game (284.5 against Big 10 foes) and have 16 total pass TDs.
On the defensive side of the ball, Maryland appears to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed 165 rush yards and 175 pass yards per game. The Indiana defense has allowed 237.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 162.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Terps are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.95 to opposing QBs, while the Hoosiers have given up a 6.83 ANY/A.
Offensively, Hill is up to 775 passing yards this season, and has connected on 69-of-139 attempts with six passing scores and three interceptions. He’s got a 4.44 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 8.04 over the past two games.
The Terrapins will probably try to maintain tempo by feeding their running backs early and often. Along with Jeshaun Jones (141 yards, two TDs), Javon Leake (67 rush yards, two rush TDs) and Anthony McFarland (431 rush yards, two rush TDs) have been focal points in the Maryland offensive scheme.
Peyton Ramsey has managed to complete 201-of-297 passes for 1,856 yards, 14 TDs and nine INTs for Indiana. His ANY/A stands at 5.37 for the year and 3.99 across his past two games.
The Hoosiers will also try to control the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. In addition to Stevie Scott (53 receiving yards, one receiving TD), Luke Timian (221 receiving yards) and Donavan Hale (281 receiving yards and five TDs) have gotten a lot of looks lately.
When these two teams met last year, Maryland won by a field goal 42-39.
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Notes
Team Betting Notes
The Indiana defensive unit has created 15 sacks on the year while Maryland has 11.
Indiana has lost seven fumbles this season while Maryland has let five get away.
The Terrapins offense has created six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Hoosiers have put up two such plays.
Both defenses have allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards and 13 pass plays of 30+ yards.
The Maryland offense has created 25 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Indiana has created 10 such runs.
The Terrapins defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Hoosiers have given up 10 such runs.
The O/U for Indiana’s last game going into it was 53. The over cashed in the 38-31 loss to Minnesota.
Over its last three games, Indiana is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
Over its last three matches, Maryland is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Indiana has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a seven-point win over Rutgers on September 29th representing its only victory over that stretch.
The Over/Under for Maryland’s last game was set at 43.5. The under cashed in the team’s 24-3 loss to Michigan State.
As a team, Maryland has averaged 5.3 yards per rush attempt across its past three games and 5.9 over its last two.
Indiana has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.0 over its last two.
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