The No. 15 Texas Longhorns (+1) aren’t traveling far to battle their in-conference rival Texas Tech Red Raiders at Jones AT&T Stadium. The game is scheduled to kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET and you can watch the action on FOX.
Texas Longhorns vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Betting Preview
Texas Tech is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 1 point. The Longhorns are also receiving -115 moneyline odds while the Red Raiders are -105. This Big 12 matchup should provide several decent live betting opportunities, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 64.5 points.
The Longhorns are 3-6 against the spread (ATS) and are down 0.9 units so far. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 5-4. The Red Raiders have been a pleasant surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 5.6 units. They’re 6-3 ATS and the over has hit in seven of their games.
The Longhorns are 6-3 straight up (SU), including 4-2 SU against conference opponents. The Red Raiders are 5-4 SU overall and are also 3-3 SU in conference play.
Both teams enter this contest on two-game losing skids. The Longhorns look to get back on track after a 42-41 defeat to West Virginia last week. Sam Ehlinger completed 25-of-36 passes for 354 yards and three touchdowns. Tre Watson (80 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) and Keaontay Ingram (30 yards on 13 carries) led the ground attack while Lil’Jordan Humphrey (nine receptions, 143 yards, one TD) and Devin Duvernay (six catches, 100 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.
One week ago, Oklahoma knocked off this Texas Tech team by a score of 51-46. As a group, the team collectively completed 30-of-44 passes for 366 yards and four touchdowns. Alan Bowman went 21-for-26 for 227 yards and two touchdowns while Jett Duffey was nine-of-17 for 139 yards and two touchdowns. Jett Duffey (47 yards on 13 rush attempts, one TD) and Da’Leon Ward (53 yards on eight carries, one TD) spearheaded the running game as Antoine Wesley (12 receptions, 199 yards) and T.J. Vasher (six catches, 42 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Texas has run the ball on 52.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Texas Tech has an overall rush percentage of 45.3 percent. The Longhorns have rushed for 155 yards per game (including 143 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have 16 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Red Raiders are putting up 147 rushing yards per game (132 in conference) and have 25 total rush TDs.
The Longhorns offensive scheme has logged 266 yards/contest through the air overall (277 per game against conference opposition) and has 18 passing TDs so far. The Red Raiders have recorded a superb 376 pass yards per contest (339.0 against Big 12 competition) and have 22 total pass scores.
Defensively, Texas appears to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has let opponents run for an average of 144 yards and pass for 256 yards per game. The Texas Tech defense has allowed 291.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 160.7 yards per game on the ground. The Longhorns are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.44 to opposing QBs, while the Red Raiders have given up a 6.95 ANY/A.
Offensively, Ehlinger has amassed 1,888 passing yards this year. The signal-caller has connected on 161-of-243 attempts with 14 passing scores and only two interceptions. He’s got a 7.92 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 9.05 over the last two outings.
Lil’Jordan Humphrey (719 receiving yards, five receiving touchdowns on the year), Devin Duvernay (288 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Tre Watson (420 rush yards, two rush TDs, 96 receiving yards, three TDs) have all played key roles lately.
Alan Bowman has managed to complete 195-of-271 passes for 2,315 yards, 16 TDs and four INTs for Texas Tech. His ANY/A sits at 8.64 for the year and 5.36 across his past two games.
Antoine Wesley, Da’Leon Ward and T.J. Vasher have collectively accounted for 602 total yards and four touchdowns over the last couple of games.
When these two squads faced each other last year, Texas Tech emerged victorious by a score of 27-23.
Betting Prediction: Texas Longhorns vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders
SU Winner – Texas, ATS Winner – Texas, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Notes
The Texas Tech defense has created 17 sacks on the year while Texas has 15.
Texas Tech has lost three fumbles in 2018 while Texas has let four get away.
The Longhorns offense has recorded five pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Red Raiders have put up 10 such plays.
The Texas defense has allowed 11 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Texas Tech has given up 12 such plays.
The Texas offense has created four rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Texas Tech has created 10 such runs.
The Longhorns defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Red Raiders have given up 15 such runs.
The O/U for Texas Tech’s previous outing was 77.5. The over cashed in the 51-46 defeat to Oklahoma.
In its last three contests, Texas Tech is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
Over its last three games, Texas is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Texas’ last game was set at 57.5. The over cashed in the team’s 42-41 loss to West Virginia.
Texas has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its past three games and 4.1 over its last two.
Texas Tech has averaged 2.9 yards per carry over its last three contests and 2.7 over its past two.
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