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Week 10 Free Pick: New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati Bengals

Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

The New Orleans Saints (-4.5) are set to take on the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium. This vital early afternoon game will get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET and FOX is in line to televise the action.

New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview

In this Sunday game, New Orleans is getting picked as the favorite and is currently giving up 4.5 points. The Saints are also receiving -180 moneyline odds while the Bengals are +160. Should one squad can create a bunch of points early it would generate a nice in-game betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 54.5 points.

The game’s total has swung lower after opening at 55.5. The original line (4.5) has yet to change.

Each team has been profitable this season as the Saints have gained 2.8 units while the Bengals are up 2.0 units.

The Saints are 7-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Bengals are 5-3 SU.

The Saints just notched a 45-35 win over the Rams in Week 9. Drew Brees completed 25-of-36 passes for 346 yards and four touchdowns. Alvin Kamara (82 rushing yards on 19 attempts, two TDs) provided the ground attack while Michael Thomas (12 receptions, 211 yards, one TD) and Kamara (four catches, 34 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.

The Cincinnati Bengals just earned a 37-34 win over Tampa Bay. The defense allowed the Buccaneers to pass for 470 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 126 yards. Mike Evans was outstanding, recording 179 yards on six catches for the Buccaneers. For Cincinnati, Andy Dalton completed 21-of-34 passes for 280 yards and two touchdowns. Joe Mixon (123 yards on 21 rush attempts, two TDs) handled the running attack as Tyler Boyd (nine receptions, 138 yards, one TD) and A.J. Green (five catches, 76 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack in the win.

New Orleans has run the ball on 44.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Cincinnati has a rush percentage of 36.3 percent. The Saints have run for 112 yards per game and have 14 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bengals are averaging 93 rush yards per game and have seven total rushing TDs.

The Saints offense has logged 299 yards per contest through the air overall and has 18 passing scores so far. The Bengals have put up 268 pass yards per game and have 17 total pass TDs.

Defensively, New Orleans has allowed 76 rush yards and 325 pass yards per game. The Cincinnati defense has allowed 330.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 128.4 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bengals are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 6.81 to opposing QBs, while the Saints have allowed a staggering 8.59 ANY/A.

Offensively, Brees is already up to 2,216 passing yards on the year. He’s connected on 195-of-256 attempts with 17 passing scores and has yet to throw an interception. Brees has a sparkling 9.38 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.83 over the last two games.

In the other locker room, Andy Dalton has connected on 170-of-263 passes for 1,954 yards, 16 TDs and seven INTs. Dalton’s ANY/A stands at 6.65 for the year and 6.18 across his past two games.

RELATED: Week 9 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

Free NFL Tip: Saints at Bengals

SU Winner – Saints, ATS Winner – Bengals, O/U – Over

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Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Cincinnati defense has produced 21 sacks on the year while New Orleans has 17.

The Cincinnati offense has lost one fumble this season while the New Orleans offense has lost seven.

The Saints offense has produced three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bengals have accounted for one such play.

The New Orleans defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40+ yards, while Cincinnati has given up seven such plays.

The New Orleans offense has created two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Cincinnati has created seven such runs.

The Saints defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bengals have given up seven such runs.

New Orleans has produced 3.7 yards per carry over its past three games and 3.9 over its last two.

Cincinnati has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.4 over its past two.

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Written by GMS Previews

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