The Los Angeles Chargers (-9.5) and Oakland Raiders will go head-to-head on the grass at Oakland Coliseum. Fans can catch the action live on FOX and kickoff for this AFC West matchup is set for 4:05 p.m. ET.
Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland Raiders Betting Preview
Oakland is entering this AFC matchup as a significant underdog and is currently getting 9.5 points. The Chargers are also receiving -440 moneyline odds while the Raiders are +310. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 50.5 points. Should Los Angeles allows points early, it will likely create a nice in-game betting opportunity.
The game’s O/U has moved higher after opening at 50. The original line of 9.5 has yet to change.
The Chargers have gained 3.4 units so far and are 4-4 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 5-3. The Raiders have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 6.2 units. The team is 2-6 ATS and has an O/U record of 3-5.
The Chargers are 6-2 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against AFC West opponents. The Raiders are 1-7 SU overall and 0-2 SU against divisional foes.
Oakland enters this matchup on a zero-game winning streak while Los Angeles has lost each of its last zero. The Bolts are coming off a 25-17 win over Seattle last week where Philip Rivers completed only 13-of-26 passes for 228 yards and two touchdowns. Melvin Gordon III (113 yards on 16 rush attempts, one TD) propelled the ground attack while Keenan Allen (six receptions, 124 yards) and Virgil Green (two catches, 28 yards) manned the receiving duties in the win.
Oakland might be waving the white flag after a 31-point loss to San Francisco last week. The defense allowed the 49ers to eat up the clock by running for 143 yards on 32 rush attempts, along with one rushing TD. George Kittle had a solid outing in the win, posting 108 yards on four catches for San Francisco. For Oakland, Derek Carr completed 16-of-21 passes for 171 yards. Doug Martin (49 yards on 11 rush attempts) spearheaded the running game while Jalen Richard (four receptions, 45 yards) and Brandon LaFell (three catches, 20 yards) led the receiving corps in the loss.
Los Angeles has run the ball on 44.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oakland has an overall rush percentage of 39.4 percent. The Chargers have run for 129 yards/game (including 101 per game against West opponents) and have seven scores on the ground this year. The Raiders are averaging 95 rush yards per game (67 in conference) and have four total rushing TDs.
Based on the results this season, it seems like the Chargers should hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has generated 5.2 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 4.4 YPC to opponents. The Raiders have registered 4.1 yards per carry and given up 4.8 YPC to opponents.
The Bolts offense has averaged 281 yards in the air overall (382 per game against conference opposition) and has 19 passing scores so far. The Raiders have recorded 276 pass yards per outing (278.0 against AFC competition) and have 10 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Los Angeles has allowed opponents to run for an average of 112 yards and pass for 266 yards per game. The Oakland D has allowed 269.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 144.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bolts are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.04 to opposing QBs, while the Raiders have allowed a whopping 9.47 ANY/A.
Offensively, Rivers is up to 1,930 passing yards this year. The signal-caller has connected on 66 percent of his 220 attempts with 17 scores through the air and only three interceptions. Rivers has a sparkling 9.04 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 10.57 over the last two outings.
Derek Carr has completed 183-of-254 passes for 1,954 yards, seven TDs and eight INTs for Oakland. His ANY/A stands at 5.77 for the year and 7.91 across his past two games.
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The O/U for Los Angeles’ previous game was 49. The under cashed in the team’s 25-17 win over Seattle.
Los Angeles has averaged 6.1 yards per rush attempt over its past three games and 5.4 over its last two.
Oakland has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.9 over its past two.
Oakland has lost four fumbles this season while Los Angeles has let three get away.
In its last three matchups, Los Angeles is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Oakland’s last match was set at 44. The under cashed in the 34-3 defeat to San Francisco.
Over its last three matches, Oakland is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Chargers offense has tallied eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Raiders have accounted for four such plays.
The Los Angeles defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Oakland has given up nine such plays.
The Los Angeles offense has created 12 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Oakland has created two such runs.
The Chargers defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Raiders have given up seven such runs.
The Los Angeles defense has more than three times as many sacks as Oakland this year (22 to seven).
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