The Atlanta Hawks (3-7) go head-to-head against the New York Knicks (3-8) at State Farm Arena. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 7, 2018.
New York opened as a 1-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 222.5 points.
New York Knicks at Atlanta Hawks ATS Prediction
The Knicks are hoping to rebound after failing to cover as 2.5-point favorites in their 116-115 loss to the Chicago Bulls in their last outing. The game’s total points (231) finished well over the O/U total of 213. Chicago’s 0.495 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over New York, who had a rate of 0.420. The Bulls’ mark was below their season average of 0.525, while the Knicks’ was below their season average of 0.496. Enes Kanter led New York in scoring with 23 points on 8-for-14 shooting.
In the Hawks’ previous matchup, they lost to the Charlotte Hornets, 113-102, despite being 5.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (215) came in under the projected point total of 225.5. Charlotte’s offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over Atlanta. The Hornets had a rate of 21.1 (below their season average of 23.6), while the Hawks posted a mark of 16.7 (below the 22.1 mark opponents have averaged against Charlotte this season). Atlanta’s Trae Young had 18 points and 10 assists in the game.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Tim Hardaway Jr. scored a game-high 31 points and the Knicks defeated the Hawks 126-107, covering as 4-point favorites. He also recorded six rebounds and five assists. The game finished with a total of 233 points, which was 16.5 points above the projected point total of 216.5 points. The Knicks had a much better turnover percentage (11.8 vs. 19.7) and had a better free throw rate (0.242 vs. 0.167).
New York holds records of 3-8 straight up (SU) and 6-4-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Knicks’ 11 games, six have finished under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Atlanta owns records of 3-7 SU and 3-6 ATS. Hawks games tend to finish over the projected point total (66.7 percent).
It might be a mistake-prone game for the Atlanta offense. Atlanta ranks 29th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 17.2 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of New York forces the third-most turnovers in the NBA (15.8 percent).
New York Knicks vs. Atlanta Hawks Free Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Knicks, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, New York is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Atlanta is 2-2 ATS at home with 2 overs and 2 unders.
When allowing under 100 points, Atlanta is 0-1 and New York is 1-0.
The Hawks are 3-5 when they reach 100 points, while the Knicks are 3-6.
New York ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (9.4) while Atlanta ranks 27th (17.6).
The Knicks rank sixth in assists allowed per game (22.1) while the Hawks rank 29th (27.4).
Atlanta ranks seventh in blocks per game (6.3) while New York ranks 25th (3.5).
The Knicks average 18.7 points off turnovers per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. The Hawks rank 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (23.7).
Atlanta ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (35.6) while New York ranks 19th (29.8).
The Knicks rank 10th in second chance points per game (14.6) while the Hawks rank 25th (9.7).
New York ranks 14th in steals per game (7.5) while Atlanta ranks 24th in steals allowed per game (9.6).
The Hawks average 48.6 points in the paint per game, which ranks 13th in the NBA. The Knicks rank 21st in points allowed in the paint per game (50.7).
New York ranks 15th in rebounds per game (45.2) while Atlanta ranks 21st in rebounds allowed per game (48.2).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five games, New York is 2-2-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Knicks have outscored opponents by an average of 2.2 points in their last five games. For the season, New York has lost by an average of 3.3 points.
During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 109.2 points per game (0.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 125.2 points per game (5.7 above their season average).
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