The Sacramento Kings (6-4) welcome the league leading Toronto Raptors (10-1) to the Golden 1 Center. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 7, 2018, and will air on NBC Sports – California.
Toronto Raptors vs. Sacramento Kings ATS Prediction
The Raptors come in on a high note after topping the Utah Jazz in their last game, 124-111, as 3.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (235) came in well over the O/U total of 214. Toronto had an effective field goal percentage of 0.645 (above their season average of 0.549). Utah, meanwhile, had a free throw rate of 0.314 (above their season average of 0.252). With 17 points on 5-for-9 shooting, Kyle Lowry was Toronto’s high scorer.
In the Kings’ last game, they lost big to the Milwaukee Bucks, 144-109. They were not able to cover as 10-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (253) finished well over the O/U total of 236. Milwaukee made good use of their 33 trips to the free throw line, making 30 of them (90.9 percent). Sacramento, meanwhile, was just 11-22 (50.0 percent). Sacramento’s De’Aaron Fox put up 15 points, six rebounds and six assists in the game.
After the Raptors won both contests against the Kings last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last matchup, Toronto won 108-93. The Raptors knocked down 23 of their 28 free throws (82.1 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (31.6 vs. 15.0).
Toronto comes into the contest with records of 10-1 straight up (SU) and 6-5 against the spread (ATS). Of the Raptors’ 11 games, eight have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Sacramento is 6-4 SU and 7-3 ATS. Games including the Kings also tend to go over the O/U total (70.0 percent).
Both teams have had a couple of players trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the Raptors it’s been Serge Ibaka (21.0 points, 7.8 rebounds, 1.6 blocks and 1.2 steals) and Pascal Siakam (14.6 points, 9.6 rebounds and 2.0 steals), while Fox (20.8 points, 8.6 assists and 1.4 steals) and Buddy Hield (24.0 points, 7.2 rebounds and 3.6 assists) have been fantastic for the Kings.
Opposite tempos will be on display in this contest. Sacramento has preferred an up-tempo style of play (fourth in possessions per game), while Toronto has been more methodical (21st in possessions per game).
Toronto Raptors vs. Sacramento Kings Free Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
At home, Sacramento is 3-0 ATS with 2 unders and 1 over.
Sacramento is 2-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Toronto is 1-0.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Raptors are 10-1 and the Kings are 5-4.
Toronto ranks fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.0) while Sacramento ranks 26th (54.6).
The Raptors rank fourth in fast break points per game (20.1) while the Kings rank 25th in fast break points allowed per game (16.5).
Toronto averages 26.1 assists per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 25th in assists allowed per game (25.4).
The Raptors rank fifth in steals allowed per game (6.4) while the Kings rank 21st (8.3).
Toronto ranks 10th in three pointers attempted per game (33.5) while Sacramento ranks 26th in three pointers allowed per game (37.5).
The Raptors average 6.0 blocks per game, which ranks ninth in the league. The Kings rank 22nd in blocks allowed per game (6.3).
Toronto averages 46.3 rebounds per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 24th in rebounds allowed per game (48.6).
The Kings rank third in points off turnovers per game (21.2) while the Raptors rank 12th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.3).
Toronto averages 12.0 second chance points per game, which ranks 20th in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (16.0).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five contests, Toronto is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Raptors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.6, down from 9.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 120.2 points per game (1.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.6 points per game (2.7 below their season average).
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