Offense meets defense when the Golden State Warriors (10-1) welcome the Milwaukee Bucks (8-2) to ORACLE Arena. The game can be seen on TNT at 10:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 8, 2018.
Golden State is a 7.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 234.5 points.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction
The last time the Bucks played, they were 2-point favorites and fell to the Portland Trail Blazers, 118-103. The game’s combined points (221) were under the projected point total of 228.5. Portland’s 0.621 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Milwaukee, who had a rate of 0.522. The Trail Blazers’ mark was above their season average of 0.526. Khris Middleton put together a solid game for Milwaukee, recording 22 points, eight rebounds and six assists.
The Warriors defeated the Memphis Grizzlies in their last outing, 117-101, covering as 14-point favorites. The combined points for the game (218) came in under the O/U total of 221.5. The Warriors held the Grizzlies to an offensive rebounding percentage of 9.5 (below their season average of 18.0) and had a free throw rate of 0.272 (above their season average of 0.204). With 22 points, six rebounds and six assists, Kevin Durant put together a solid game for Golden State.
This battle pits one of the NBA’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Golden State currently ranks first in offensive efficiency and Milwaukee ranks second in defensive efficiency.
Milwaukee holds records of 8-2 straight up (SU) and 6-4 against the spread (ATS). Oddsmakers tend to set the total low when the Bucks are playing, as 70.0 percent of their games have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Golden State owns records of 10-1 SU and 7-4 ATS. Games featuring the Warriors have gone over the total 54.5 percent of the time.
Klay Thompson has averaged 24.4 points over the last five games for Golden State.
After splitting two games last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the most recent matchup, the Bucks won 116-107. The Bucks had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (19.4 vs. 6.5) and had a better turnover percentage (14.1 vs. 18.1).
Bucks vs. Warriors Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Bucks, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Milwaukee averages 26.4 assists per game, which ranks third in the league. Golden State ranks 17th in assists allowed per game (23.8).
Milwaukee ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (10.9) while Golden State ranks 12th (12.7).
The Bucks rank first in points allowed in the paint per game (39.4) while the Warriors rank sixth (44.4).
Golden State is 5-1 ATS at home, while Milwaukee is 1-3 ATS on the road.
Bettings Trends:
In its last five outings, Milwaukee is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Golden State is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.6, down from 12.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 126.6 points per game (3.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 111.8 points per game (2.1 above their season average).
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