The Brooklyn Nets (6-6) will try to slow down the league’s top scoring team when they challenge the Golden State Warriors (10-2) at ORACLE Arena. The game will air on YES Network at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 10, 2018.
Brooklyn Nets vs. Golden State Warriors Free Prediction
The last time the Nets played, they defeated the Denver Nuggets, 112-110, resulting in a push. The game’s total points (222) finished just over the projected point total of 220.5. Brooklyn’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Denver. The Nets had a rate of 7.0 (better than their season average of 13.0), while the Nuggets posted a mark of 10.5. Jarrett Allen fueled Brooklyn with 18 points, nine rebounds and five blocks.
The Warriors got blown out by the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game, 134-111, despite being 5.5-point favorites. The combined points for the game (245) came in just over the projected point total of 242.5. Milwaukee’s 9.6 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Golden State, who had a rate of 15.7. The Bucks’ mark was better than their season average of 13.3, while the Warriors’ was above the 10.4 mark opponents have averaged against Milwaukee this season. With 24 points on 9-for-15 shooting, Klay Thompson led Golden State in scoring.
The high-octane offense of Golden State will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of Brooklyn. The Warriors currently rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Nets are 20th in defensive efficiency. The Warriors figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball.
Brooklyn comes into the game with records of 6-6 straight up (SU) and 6-5 against the spread (ATS). Nets games have a slight tendency to finish under the O/U total (54.5 percent).
Meanwhile, Golden State is 10-2 SU and 7-5 ATS. Games involving the Warriors tend to go over the total (58.3 percent).
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Allen (11.2 points, 8.4 rebounds and 1.2 blocks) has been stellar for the Nets while Thompson (27.4 points) has made great contributions to the Warriors.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Kevin Durant put up 34 points, eight rebounds and six assists and the Warriors topped the Nets 120-114 but could not cover as 9.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 234 points, which was 6.5 points above the projected point total of 227.5 points. The Warriors had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.3 vs. 12.5) and had a much better free throw rate (0.236 vs. 0.115).
Nets at Warriors Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Warriors, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Brooklyn ranks first in assists allowed per game (19.7) while Golden State ranks 23rd (24.6).
Golden State averages 16.0 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 16th in the NBA. Brooklyn ranks 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (19.2).
The Nets rank ninth in points in the paint per game (50.2) while the Warriors rank 11th in points allowed in the paint per game (47.7).
Brooklyn is 4-2 ATS on the road, while Golden State is 5-2 ATS at home.
Bettings Trends:
In its last five games, Brooklyn is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Golden State is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Nets’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.4, up from 0.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 124.8 points per game (2.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.8 points per game (4.0 above their season average).
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