The Los Angeles Clippers (6-5) will have their hands full against the NBA’s top shooting defense when they clash against the Milwaukee Bucks (9-2) at Staples Center. The game starts at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 10, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports Net Wisconsin.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 233 points with Milwaukee opening as a 3-point favorite.
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Los Angeles Clippers Free Prediction
In the Bucks’ last contest, they blew out the Golden State Warriors, 134-111, as 5.5-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (245) came in just over the O/U total of 242.5. The Bucks forced 18 turnovers and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.2 (above their season average of 22.6). Milwaukee was led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, who put up 24 points and nine rebounds.
The Clippers were beaten by the Portland Trail Blazers in their last matchup, 116-105. They failed to cover as 5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (221) came in under the O/U total of 225.5. Portland out-rebounded Los Angeles. The Trail Blazers had more offensive rebounds (14 vs. seven), defensive rebounds (39 vs. 34) and total rebounds (53 vs. 41). Los Angeles’ Tobias Harris recorded 15 points and 11 rebounds in the contest.
After the Clippers won both matchups against the Bucks last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. In the last contest, Los Angeles won 105-98. The Clippers’ 12.2 turnover percentage was their largest strength over the Bucks, who had a rate of 14.7.
Milwaukee heads into the contest with records of 9-2 straight up (SU) and 7-4 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to place the total low when the Bucks are involved, as eight of their 11 contests have ended over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles is 6-5 SU and 6-5 ATS. Contrary to Milwaukee, Clippers games have finished under the O/U total 54.5 percent of the time.
Lou Williams has averaged 21.6 points and 4.0 assists over the last five games for Los Angeles.
Second-chance points might be few and far between for Los Angeles in this matchup. The Clippers currently rank 21st in offensive rebounding percentage (21.9 percent), while Milwaukee ranks third in defensive rebounding percentage (80.1 percent). Furthermore, the Bucks’ second-ranked offense (effective field goal percentage of 0.561) will face off against the Clippers’ top-ranked defense (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.478).
Milwaukee Bucks at Los Angeles Clippers ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Milwaukee is 2-3 ATS on the road with 3 overs and 2 unders.
At home, Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Milwaukee and Los Angeles are both 2-0 when they hold opponents under 100 points.
The Bucks are 9-2 when they reach 100 points, while the Clippers are 6-4.
Milwaukee ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (40.5) while Los Angeles ranks 27th (24.9).
The Bucks rank second in assists per game (27.0) while the Clippers rank 23rd (22.0).
Milwaukee ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (11.0) while Los Angeles ranks 24th (15.7).
The Bucks rank second in fast break points allowed per game (10.3) while the Clippers rank 22nd (15.6).
Milwaukee ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (38.9) while Los Angeles ranks 17th (49.3).
The Bucks rank sixth in blocks per game (6.2) while the Clippers rank 21st in blocks allowed per game (6.4).
Milwaukee ranks 11th in points off turnovers per game (17.2) while Los Angeles ranks 25th (14.3).
The Bucks average 52.5 rebounds per game, which ranks first in the league. The Clippers rank 14th in rebounds allowed per game (44.8).
Milwaukee ranks 24th in steals per game (6.2) while Los Angeles ranks 26th (5.3).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five contests, Milwaukee is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Bucks’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 10.8, down from 13.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Clippers have scored an average of 113.6 points per game (1.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 114.0 points per game (3.6 above their season average).
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