The Los Angeles Lakers (5-6) and the Sacramento Kings (7-5), who both like to play fast, will square off at Golden 1 Center. The game is scheduled to get underway at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 10, 2018.
Los Angeles is a 5.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 240 points.
Los Angeles Lakers at Sacramento Kings ATS Prediction
In the Lakers’ last game, they topped the Minnesota Timberwolves, 114-110, but they were unable to cover as 6-point favorites. The combined points for the game (224) came in well under the O/U total of 239. The Lakers knocked down 11 of their 14 free throws (78.6 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 29.3 (above their season average of 21.5). With 24 points on 10-for-21 shooting, LeBron James was Los Angeles’ leading scorer.
The Kings defeated the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last outing, 121-110, despite being 8.5-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (231) were just under the projected point total of 232.5. Sacramento’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Minnesota. The Kings had a rate of 10.0 (better than their season average of 12.3), while the Timberwolves posted a mark of 13.6. With 16 points and 10 assists, De’Aaron Fox put together a good performance for Sacramento.
After splitting four games last season, these teams will go head-to-head for the first time this year. In the most recent contest, the Kings won 84-83. The Kings’ turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Lakers. Sacramento had a rate of 9.2, while Los Angeles posted a mark of 14.0.
Los Angeles holds records of 5-6 straight up (SU) and 3-8 against the spread (ATS). A little over half of the Lakers’ games have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Sacramento is 7-5 SU and 7-4 ATS. Games including the Kings have a tendency to finish over the O/U total (63.6 percent).
Buddy Hield has averaged 23.6 points, 6.4 rebounds and 3.6 assists over the last five games for Sacramento.
There could be plenty of transition offense in this battle that showcases a pair of the league’s more fast-paced teams. Sacramento ranks third in possessions per game (107.3) and Los Angeles is first (108.6). Ball protection could be troublesome for the Lakers. They rank 21st at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 14.1 percent), while the Kings force the fifth-most turnovers in the league (opponents’ turnover percentage of 15.5 percent).
Los Angeles Lakers at Sacramento Kings Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Lakers, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
At home, Sacramento is 3-1 ATS with 3 unders and 1 over.
When holding opponents under 100 points, Sacramento is 2-0.
The Lakers are 5-6 when they score over 100 points, while the Kings are 6-5.
Los Angeles ranks first in fast break points per game (23.5) while Sacramento ranks 27th in fast break points allowed per game (16.8).
The Lakers average 60.2 points in the paint per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Kings rank 24th in points allowed in the paint per game (54.0).
Los Angeles ranks fifth in assists per game (26.2) while Sacramento ranks 20th in assists allowed per game (24.3).
The Kings average 21.0 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Lakers rank 18th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.7).
Los Angeles ranks 12th in second chance points per game (13.9) while Sacramento ranks 25th in second chance points allowed per game (15.8).
The Lakers average 8.6 steals per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. The Kings rank 17th in steals allowed per game (8.3).
Los Angeles averages 6.2 blocks per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Sacramento ranks 18th in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
The Lakers rank 15th in three pointers allowed per game (31.4) while the Kings rank 25th (36.3).
Los Angeles ranks 17th in rebounds per game (44.6) while Sacramento ranks 27th in rebounds allowed per game (49.3).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five games, Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Sacramento is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Lakers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 1.8, up from 0.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 117.6 points per game (0.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 116.4 points per game (1.7 below their season average).
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