The Atlanta Hawks (3-9) and the Los Angeles Lakers (6-6), who both like to play up-tempo, will go head-to-head at Staples Center. The game starts at 9:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 11, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Southeast.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 241 points with Los Angeles set as an 11.5-point favorite.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Los Angeles Lakers Free Prediction
The last time the Hawks played, they were beaten by the Detroit Pistons, 124-109, and failed to cover as 5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (233) came in over the O/U total of 227. Detroit’s 8.7 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Atlanta, who had a rate of 14.2. The Pistons’ mark was better than their season average of 12.5. Jeremy Lin led Atlanta in scoring with 19 points on 5-for-9 shooting.
The Lakers were victorious over the Sacramento Kings in their last game, 101-86, despite being 6-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (187) finished well under the O/U total of 239. The Lakers forced 19 turnovers and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 31.5 (above their season average of 22.1). LeBron James was the top scorer from either team with 25 points on 10-for-18 shooting from the field.
After the Lakers won both games against the Hawks last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last contest, Los Angeles won 123-104. Los Angeles had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (23.3 vs. 14.0). Atlanta, on the other hand, had a much better turnover percentage (9.0 vs. 19.0).
Atlanta heads into the game with records of 3-9 straight up (SU) and 4-8 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to place the total low when the Hawks are playing, as seven of their 12 contests have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Los Angeles is 6-6 SU and 3-8 ATS. Just over half of Lakers games have finished over the projected point total.
There could be plenty of transition offense in this battle that features a pair of the NBA’s more up-tempo teams. Los Angeles ranks first in possessions per game (108.2) and Atlanta is second (108.0).
Atlanta Hawks vs. Los Angeles Lakers Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Lakers, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS on the road with 4 overs and 2 unders.
Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS at home with 3 overs and 3 unders.
Los Angeles is 1-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Atlanta is 0-1.
In games where they score above 100 points, the Hawks are 3-7 and the Lakers are 6-6.
Los Angeles averages 22.9 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the league. Atlanta ranks 29th in fast break points allowed per game (17.7).
The Lakers average 8.8 steals per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Hawks rank 26th in steals allowed per game (9.5).
Los Angeles ranks seventh in points off turnovers per game (19.9) while Atlanta ranks 28th in points off turnovers allowed per game (23.7).
The Lakers average 25.9 assists per game, which ranks fifth in the league. The Hawks rank 24th in assists allowed per game (26.6).
Atlanta ranks fourth in three pointers attempted per game (35.2) while Los Angeles ranks 20th (29.8).
The Hawks rank 10th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.2) while the Lakers rank 26th (55.2).
Los Angeles ranks 13th in second chance points per game (14.2) while Atlanta ranks 27th in second chance points allowed per game (16.9).
The Hawks average 6.1 blocks per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Lakers rank 18th in blocks allowed per game (5.6).
Los Angeles ranks 12th in rebounds per game (45.8) while Atlanta ranks 20th in rebounds allowed per game (47.8).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five outings, Atlanta is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The Hawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.4, up from 9.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 110.0 points per game (7.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.0 points per game (8.3 below their season average).
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