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College Football Free Betting Prediction – Ole Miss Rebels at Vanderbilt Commodores

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

The Ole Miss Rebels and Vanderbilt Commodores will do battle on the turf at Vanderbilt Stadium. SEC Network will televise the action and the matchup is scheduled to kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET.

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Preview

Ole Miss is getting picked as the underdog and is currently getting 3 points in this SEC matchup. The Rebels are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Commodores are -140. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 66.5 points. It appears that there should be some good in-game betting possibilities while the showdown is taking place.

The Rebels are 3-7 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.3 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 6-4. The Commodores are down 1.9 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 6-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-7.

The Rebels are 5-5 straight up (SU), including 1-5 SU against conference opponents. The Commodores are 4-6 SU overall and 1-5 SU in conference play.

The Rebels are most-recently reeling from a 38-24 defeat to Texas A&M last week. Jordan Ta’amu completed 22 passes for 373 yards and one touchdown. Isaiah Woullard (64 rushing yards on 16 attempts) mounted the running attack in the loss. A.J. Brown (six receptions, 127 yards) and DaMarkus Lodge (six catches, 122 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties.

Vanderbilt just fell 33-28 to Missouri. The team’s defense let the Tigers rush for 253 yards on 49 attempts, including two rush TDs. Damarea Crockett put up a productive showing in the win for Missouri, posting 122 rushing yards and a score on 22 attempts, along with 15 yards on two catches. For Vanderbilt, Kyle Shurmur completed 24-of-35 passes for 249 yards and three touchdowns. Ke’Shawn Vaughn (182 rushing yards on 15 attempts, one TD) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat as Kalija Lipscomb (eight receptions, 99 yards, one TD) and Jared Pinkney (five catches, 88 yards, one TD) led the receiving attack.

Ole Miss has run the ball on 49.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Vanderbilt has a rush percentage of 51.8 percent. The Rebels have run for 181 yards/game (including 153 per game against Southeastern opponents) and have 24 scores via handoffs this year. The Commodores are totaling 160 rushing yards per game (145 in conference) and have 15 total rush TDs.

The Rebels offensive scheme has averaged a stellar 355 yards in the air overall (296 per game against conference opposition) and has 19 passing scores so far. The Commodores have recorded 232 pass yards per game (210.2 in the SEC) and have 17 total pass TDs.

Ole Miss has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 216 yards and throw for 284 yards per game. The Vanderbilt defense has allowed 219.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 202.3 yards per game on the ground. The Commodores are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.47 to opposing QBs, while the Rebels have given up a 7.96 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Ta’amu has already put up 2,995 yards this year. He’s completed 195-of-303 attempts with 17 scores through the air and only five interceptions. Ta’amu’s got a pristine 9.23 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.39 over the last two outings.

For the home team, Kyle Shurmur has managed to complete 170-of-281 passes for 2,094 yards, 15 TDs and five INTs. Shurmur’s ANY/A sits at 7.05 for the year and 8.58 over his past two games.

When these two squads faced each other last year, Ole Miss won soundly 57-35.

RELATED: Week 12 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions 

Betting Prediction: Ole Miss Rebels at Vanderbilt Commodores

SU Winner – Vanderbilt, ATS Winner – Vanderbilt, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes

Vanderbilt has lost seven fumbles this season while Ole Miss has lost four.

The Ole Miss defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 20 times this year. Vanderbilt has recorded 16 sacks.

As a team, Ole Miss has averaged 3.6 yards per rush attempt over its last three contests and 3.8 over its last two.

Vanderbilt has averaged 4.9 yards per carry over its last three outings and 6.0 over its last two.

Over its last three matches, Vanderbilt is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Ole Miss’ previous game was set at 67.5. The under cashed in the team’s 38-24 loss to Texas A&M.

In its last three matchups, Ole Miss is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for Vanderbilt’s previous game was set at 65.5. The under cashed in the 33-28 loss to Missouri.

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Written by GMS Previews

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