Offense meets defense when the Milwaukee Bucks (10-3) welcome the Memphis Grizzlies (7-5) to Fiserv Forum. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Southeast at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 14, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 216 points with Milwaukee opening as a 9.5-point favorite.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Milwaukee Bucks Betting Prediction
The Grizzlies are hoping for a better outcome after not being able to cover as 4-point underdogs in their 96-88 loss to the Utah Jazz in their last contest. The game’s total points (184) finished well under the O/U total of 202. Utah out-rebounded Memphis. The Jazz had more offensive rebounds (13 vs. eight), defensive rebounds (36 vs. 34) and total rebounds (49 vs. 42). Memphis’ Jaren Jackson Jr. put together a solid outing, contributing 10 points, 11 rebounds and five blocks.
In the Bucks’ last game, they beat the Denver Nuggets, 121-114, despite being 3.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (235) finished over the O/U total of 224.5. Milwaukee made 17 of their 34 three pointers (50.0 percent). Denver, meanwhile, did an excellent job of converting from the charity stripe (14-20; 70.0 percent). With 22 points, nine rebounds and eight assists, Milwaukee’s Giannis Antetokounmpo put together a solid game.
The game should be a matchup of strength against strength as the prolific offense of Milwaukee takes on the elite defense of Memphis. The Bucks rank third in offensive efficiency, while the Grizzlies are fourth in defensive efficiency. Also, the Grizzlies, who rank 29th in offensive rebounding percentage (18.6 percent), will go head-to-head against the Bucks, who rank third in defensive rebounding percentage (79.9 percent).
Memphis holds records of 7-5 straight up (SU) and 7-5 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to place the total high when the Grizzlies are involved, as 66.7 percent of their games have ended under the total.
Meanwhile, Milwaukee owns records of 10-3 SU and 8-5 ATS. Unlike Memphis, games including the Bucks have a tendency to finish over the projected point total (76.9 percent).
After the Bucks won both matchups against the Grizzlies last season, these teams will battle for the first time this year. In the last matchup, Milwaukee won 121-103. The Bucks had a better free throw rate (0.185 vs. 0.112) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (34.4 vs. 21.7).
Grizzlies vs. Bucks Odds Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Bucks, ATS Winner – Grizzlies, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Memphis is 2-4 ATS with 5 unders and 1 over.
Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS at home with 5 overs and 1 under.
When allowing under 100 points, Memphis is 4-2 and Milwaukee is 2-0.
In games where they score above 100 points, the Grizzlies are 5-2 and the Bucks are 10-3.
Milwaukee ranks second in rebounds per game (51.6) while Memphis ranks 29th (38.3).
The Bucks rank second in three pointers attempted per game (40.5) while the Grizzlies rank 24th (27.1).
Milwaukee ranks third in blocks per game (6.4) while Memphis ranks 23rd (4.3).
The Grizzlies rank second in steals per game (9.8) while the Bucks rank 20th (6.8).
Milwaukee ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (10.2) while Memphis ranks 19th (15.2).
The Bucks rank second in assists per game (27.3) while the Grizzlies rank 20th (22.4).
Milwaukee ranks third in points in the paint per game (54.8) while Memphis ranks 19th (45.0).
The Bucks rank 15th in second chance points per game (13.2) while the Grizzlies rank 26th (9.8).
Memphis ranks second in points off turnovers per game (21.8) while Milwaukee ranks 11th (17.5).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five contests, Memphis is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Milwaukee is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Grizzlies have been outscored by an average of 3.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Memphis has defeated opponents by an average of 1.2 points.
During their last five games, the Bucks have scored an average of 125.6 points per game (4.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 116.0 points per game (6.3 above their season average).
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