The Phoenix Suns (2-11) take on the San Antonio Spurs (7-5) at Talking Stick Resort Arena. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 14, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Arizona.
San Antonio opened as a 5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 211 points.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Phoenix Suns Free Prediction
The Spurs are hoping for a better outcome after failing to cover as 2.5-point favorites in their 104-99 loss to the Sacramento Kings in their last contest. The game’s total points (203) came in well under the O/U total of 220. Sacramento’s 11.6 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over San Antonio, who had a rate of 13.8. The Kings’ mark was better than their season average of 12.4, while the Spurs’ was above their season average of 10.6. San Antonio’s LaMarcus Aldridge had a good outing, finishing with 14 points and 18 rebounds.
The last time the Suns were in action, they were beaten by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 118-101. They failed to cover as 8-point underdogs. The total points for the game (219) came in over the projected point total of 214.5. Oklahoma City’s 11.4 turnover percentage was their largest strength over Phoenix, who had a rate of 16.8. The Thunder’s mark was better than their season average of 11.8. With 21 points on 10-for-14 shooting, T.J. Warren was Phoenix’s leading scorer.
It could be a difficult game for Phoenix on the offensive glass. The Suns are among the league’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking 28th in offensive rebounding percentage at 19.5 percent. Meanwhile, San Antonio ranks ninth in the league at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 78.4 percent. Furthermore, the Spurs rank second in turnover percentage (12.0 percent), while the Suns rank 22nd in opponents’ turnover percentage (13.1 percent).
San Antonio heads into the contest with records of 7-5 straight up (SU) and 6-6 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Spurs have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, Phoenix owns records of 2-11 SU and 5-8 ATS. Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Suns games, with 7 unders compared to 6 overs.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, DeMar DeRozan scored a game-high 25 points and the Spurs beat the Suns 120-90, covering as 6.5-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 210 points, which was just 5 points below the projected point total of 215 points. The Spurs knocked down 24 of their 26 free throws (92.3 percent) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.578 vs. 0.422).
Spurs vs. Suns Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
San Antonio ranks 13th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.5) while Phoenix ranks 26th (55.1).
San Antonio ranks 14th in rebounds per game (45.5) while Phoenix ranks 25th (41.4).
The Suns rank 25th in fast break points per game (10.4) while the Spurs rank 28th (7.2).
Phoenix is 4-3 ATS at home, while San Antonio is 2-3 ATS on the road.
Bettings Trends:
In its last five contests, San Antonio is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Phoenix is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Spurs’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.4, down from 1.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the Suns have scored an average of 98.6 points per game (2.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 111.4 points per game (3.3 below their season average).
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