The Brooklyn Nets (7-9) will have their hands full against the NBA’s top shooting defense when they meet the Los Angeles Clippers (9-5) at Barclays Center. The game starts at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 17, 2018, and will air on YES Network.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 222 points with Los Angeles set as a 6-point favorite.
Los Angeles Clippers at Brooklyn Nets ATS Prediction
In the Clippers’ last matchup, they beat the San Antonio Spurs, 116-111, but they failed to cover as 6-point favorites. The game’s total points (227) were over the O/U total of 217. Los Angeles made good use of their 35 trips to the free throw line, converting on 28 of them (80.0 percent). San Antonio, on the other hand, was 20-25 (80.0 percent). Tobias Harris had a solid performance for Los Angeles, putting up 18 points, eight rebounds and five assists.
The Nets were victorious over the Washington Wizards in their last matchup, 115-104, easily covering as 2-point favorites. The combined points for the game (219) were over the projected point total of 214. The Nets had 8 steals and had a free throw rate of 0.333 (above their season average of 0.178). Spencer Dinwiddie led Brooklyn in scoring with 25 points on 8-for-13 shooting from the field.
After the Clippers won both games against the Nets last season, these teams will go head-to-head for the first time this year. In the most recent matchup, Los Angeles won 123-120. The Clippers knocked down 25 of their 30 free throws (83.3 percent) and had a better turnover percentage (9.3 vs. 12.1).
Los Angeles heads into the game with records of 9-5 straight up (SU) and 8-6 against the spread (ATS). Of the Clippers’ 14 games, eight have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Brooklyn owns records of 7-9 SU and 7-8 ATS. Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Nets games, with 7 overs compared to 7 unders.
Both teams have had a couple of players trending in the right direction over their last five games. For the Clippers it’s been Lou Williams (21.0 points and 6.4 assists) and Montrezl Harrell (18.2 points, 8.4 rebounds and 2.2 blocks), while D’Angelo Russell (18.6 points, 4.8 assists and 1.8 steals) and Dinwiddie (14.0 points and 4.6 assists) have been great for the Nets.
The offensive glass could be a solid edge for Brooklyn in this battle. The Nets are among the league’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking eighth in offensive rebounding percentage at 25.6 percent. Meanwhile, Los Angeles ranks 19th in the NBA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 76.1 percent. Additionally, the Clippers rank first in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.277), while the Nets rank 30th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.243).
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Brooklyn Nets Free Pick
NBA Tip: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS on the road with 3 overs and 3 unders.
Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS at home with 4 overs and 2 unders.
Los Angeles is 2-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Brooklyn is 3-0.
The Clippers are 9-4 when they score more than 100 points, while the Nets are 7-8.
Brooklyn ranks seventh in three pointers attempted per game (34.5) while Los Angeles ranks 25th (25.1).
The Nets average 14.6 second chance points per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Clippers rank 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (15.3).
Brooklyn ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (10.9) while Los Angeles ranks 19th (15.1).
The Clippers rank 11th in blocks per game (5.8) while the Nets rank 25th (4.3).
Los Angeles averages 47.1 rebounds per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Brooklyn ranks 21st in rebounds allowed per game (46.8).
The Nets rank 19th in steals per game (7.1) while the Clippers rank 29th (5.5).
Brooklyn averages 49.9 points in the paint per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 19th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.0).
The Nets rank 22nd in points off turnovers per game (15.9) while the Clippers rank 28th (14.0).
Brooklyn ranks first in assists allowed per game (20.6) while Los Angeles ranks seventh (22.1).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five contests, Los Angeles is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Brooklyn is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Clippers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.4, down from 4.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 109.4 points per game (0.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 114.0 points per game (3.7 above their season average).
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