The Jacksonville Dolphins (0-4) seek their first win when they clash against the South Alabama Jaguars (2-1) at Mitchell Center. The game is scheduled to start at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 17, 2018.
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. South Alabama Jaguars ATS Prediction
In the Dolphins’ last game, they were beaten by the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks, 77-71, but they were able to cover as 20-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (148) came in just over the projected point total of 146.5. One of Southeast Missouri State’s largest advantages was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 16-20 (80.0 percent), while the Dolphins were just 3-5 (60.0 percent). Jace Hogan was the top scorer from either team with 18 points on 9-for-19 shooting.
The Jaguars won big over the Chattanooga Mocs in their last matchup, 73-54. The Jaguars had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.464 vs. 0.307) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (34.9 vs. 26.2). Josh Ajayi was the top scorer from either team with 23 points on 6-for-14 shooting from the field.
Looking at effective field goal percentage, South Alabama should have a considerable edge. Dating back to the 2017-18 season, the Jaguars defense ranks 22nd in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.466), while the Jacksonville offense ranks 249th in effective field goal percentage (0.496).
The Dolphins are 15-22 straight up (SU) since last season, but have had trouble covering the spread (1-3-1 against the spread (ATS)). Jacksonville games have had a tendency to go under the projected point total since last season (80.0 percent).
The Jaguars, meanwhile, have records of 16-19 SU and 13-16 ATS since last season. Over that same time frame, games including South Alabama have finished over the O/U total 55.2 percent of the time.
Jacksonville Dolphins vs. South Alabama Jaguars Betting Pick
College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Jacksonville, ATS Winner – Jacksonville, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
South Alabama ranks 78th in three pointers attempted per game (24.3) while Jacksonville ranks 286th (18.7).
The Jaguars average 36.7 rebounds per game, which ranks 107th in the nation. The Dolphins rank 280th in rebounds allowed per game (37.8).
Jacksonville averages 3.8 blocks per game, which ranks 106th in the country. South Alabama ranks 223rd in blocks allowed per game (3.9).
The Dolphins average 6.9 steals per game, which ranks 71st in the country. The Jaguars rank 183rd in steals allowed per game (6.4).
Jacksonville ranks 216th in assists per game (12.7) while South Alabama ranks 227th (12.6).
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