The San Antonio Spurs (7-7) take on the Golden State Warriors (12-5) at the AT&T Center. The game can be seen on NBATV at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 18, 2018.
Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs Free Prediction
The last time the Warriors played, they were topped by the Dallas Mavericks, 112-109, but they were able to cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (221) came in over the O/U total of 217. One of Dallas’ largest strengths was getting to the charity stripe. They made 34 trips to the line, while Golden State went just 17 times. Kevin Durant was the game’s leading scorer with 32 points on 11-for-24 shooting.
The Spurs were beaten by the Los Angeles Clippers in their last outing, 116-111, but were able to cover as 6-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (227) finished over the O/U total of 217. Los Angeles made good use of their 35 trips to the charity stripe, converting on 28 of them (80.0 percent). San Antonio, on the other hand, was 20-25 (80.0 percent). With 34 points on 14-for-30 shooting, DeMar DeRozan was the top scorer from either team.
After the Warriors won seven out of nine meetings against the Spurs last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last matchup, Golden State won 99-91. The Warriors had a better turnover percentage (9.6 vs. 12.0) and had a better effective field goal percentage (0.476 vs. 0.413).
Golden State heads into the contest with records of 12-5 straight up (SU) and 8-8 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has been spot on when predicting totals of Warriors games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Meanwhile, San Antonio is 7-7 SU and 7-7 ATS. Spurs games also have no tendency in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
San Antonio could put on a ball-control clinic in this showdown. San Antonio ranks second in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 11.9 percent), while Golden State forces the fourth-fewest turnovers (12.2 percent). Furthermore, the Warriors’ second-ranked offense (effective field goal percentage of 0.568) will face off against the Spurs’ 23rd-ranked defense (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.530).
Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Spurs, ATS Winner – Spurs, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Golden State is 2-5 ATS with 5 overs and 2 unders.
San Antonio is 4-3 ATS at home with 4 overs and 3 unders.
Golden State is 1-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while San Antonio is 3-1.
The Spurs are 6-3 when they score more than 100 points, while the Warriors are 12-3.
Golden State ranks fourth in fast break points per game (17.6) while San Antonio ranks 29th (8.3).
The Warriors rank fifth in blocks per game (6.1) while the Spurs rank 23rd (4.3).
San Antonio ranks 10th in three pointers allowed per game (29.8) while Golden State ranks 28th (35.6).
The Spurs rank third in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.1) while the Warriors rank 19th (17.6).
Golden State ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (41.5) while San Antonio ranks 19th (45.9).
The Warriors rank first in assists per game (28.9) while the Spurs rank 17th (22.9).
Golden State ranks 18th in steals per game (7.2) while San Antonio ranks 25th (6.6).
The Warriors rank 26th in points in the paint per game (42.0) while the Spurs rank 28th (40.6).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five games, Golden State is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
San Antonio is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The Warriors have been outscored by an average of 1.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Golden State has defeated opponents by an average of 7.2 points.
During their last five games, the Spurs have scored an average of 98.0 points per game (9.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 104.0 points per game (4.8 below their season average).
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