The UT Arlington Mavericks (2-1) clash with the UC Davis Aggies (1-3) at the College Park Center. The game starts at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 18, 2018.
UC Davis Aggies at UT Arlington Mavericks ATS Prediction
In the Aggies’ last contest, they beat the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders, 57-54. One of UC Davis’ largest advantages was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 13-16 (81.3 percent), while the Islanders were just 7-12 (58.3 percent). TJ Shorts II fueled UC Davis with 10 points, six rebounds and five assists.
The Mavericks fell to the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders in their last contest, 73-67. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over UT Arlington. The Islanders had a rate of 39.4, while the Mavericks posted a mark of 29.7. With 26 points on 10-for-14 shooting, Brian Warren was the top scorer from either team.
The Aggies are 23-13 straight up (SU) and 18-16-1 against the spread (ATS) since last season. UC Davis games have had a tendency to go under the projected point total since last season (60.0 percent).
On the other hand, the Mavericks, are 23-14 SU and 19-12-1 ATS since last season. Games involving UT Arlington have had a tendency to go under the O/U total over that same stretch (56.3 percent).
It might be a sloppy game for the UT Arlington offense. Since last season, UT Arlington ranks 278th in the nation in ball protection (turnover percentage of 20.1 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of UC Davis has forced the 27th-most turnovers in the nation (21.9 percent).
UC Davis at UT Arlington Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – UT Arlington, ATS Winner – UT Arlington, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
UT Arlington ranks 25th in rebounds per game (39.0) while UC Davis ranks 293rd (32.5).
The Mavericks rank 44th in assists per game (15.7) while the Aggies rank 265th (11.9).
UT Arlington ranks 75th in three pointers attempted per game (24.2) while UC Davis ranks 288th (18.1).
The Mavericks rank 66th in blocks per game (4.1) while the Aggies rank 257th (2.3).
UC Davis averages 6.9 steals per game, which ranks 78th in the nation. UT Arlington ranks 235th in steals allowed per game (6.9).
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