The New York Knicks (4-13) look to snap their five-game losing streak when they take on the Portland Trail Blazers (11-5) at Madison Square Garden. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 20, 2018, and will air on NBATV.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 221.5 points with Portland set as a 7.5-point favorite.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. New York Knicks Betting Prediction
In the Trail Blazers’ last game, they defeated the Washington Wizards, 119-109, as 1-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (228) came in over the O/U total of 220.5. The Trail Blazers knocked down 30 of their 35 free throws (85.7 percent) and held the Wizards to an offensive rebounding percentage of 17.3 (below the 22.7 mark opponents have averaged against Portland this season). Portland was led by Damian Lillard, who was the top scorer from either team with 40 points on 12-for-29 shooting.
The Knicks lost to the Orlando Magic in their last matchup, 131-117. They were unable to cover as 5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (248) finished well over the projected point total of 219. Orlando’s effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over New York. The Magic had a rate of 0.649 (above their season average of 0.510), while the Knicks posted a mark of 0.506. New York’s Enes Kanter finished with 21 points and 19 rebounds in the game.
After the Trail Blazers won both matchups against the Knicks last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the last game, Portland won 111-87. The Trail Blazers made 21 of their 24 free throws (87.5 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (33.3 vs. 20.0).
Portland heads into the game with records of 11-5 straight up (SU) and 11-5 against the spread (ATS). There does not appear to be a trend for Trail Blazers games in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, New York is 4-13 SU and 8-8-1 ATS. Just over half of Knicks games have finished over the O/U total.
Jusuf Nurkic has averaged 16 points,12.0 rebounds,1.8 blocks over the last five games for Portland.
The offense of New York (27th in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 103.8) will go head-to-head against the elite defense of Portland (eighth in the league with a defensive efficiency of 104.8). The Trail Blazers figure to have the advantage on that end of the court. Additionally, the Trail Blazers rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (26.2 percent), while the Knicks rank 24th in defensive rebounding percentage (75.0 percent).
Portland Trail Blazers vs. New York Knicks ATS Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Portland is 4-3 ATS with 4 overs and 3 unders.
At home, New York is 3-3-1 ATS with 4 unders and 3 overs.
New York is 1-0 when they allow below 100 points, while Portland is 4-0.
In games where they reach 100 points, the Knicks are 4-10 and the Trail Blazers are 11-4.
Portland ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.8) while New York ranks 23rd (18.6).
The Trail Blazers rank first in rebounds per game (51.6) while the Knicks rank 19th in rebounds allowed per game (45.8).
New York ranks 12th in steals per game (7.8) while Portland ranks 27th (5.9).
The Knicks average 16.5 second chance points per game, which ranks third in the NBA. The Trail Blazers rank 18th in second chance points allowed per game (13.5).
Portland ranks 15th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.3) while New York ranks 27th (52.7).
The Trail Blazers average 31.8125 three pointers per game, which ranks 15 in the league. The Knicks rank 20 in three pointers allowed per game (32.35294117647059).
Portland is 25 in the league with 20.6875 assists per game while New York is 28 with 18.352941176470587 assists per game.
The Knicks rank 25 in fast break points per game (11.117647058823529) while the Trail Blazers rank 26 (11.0625).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five games, Portland is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
New York is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Trail Blazers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.4, down from 6.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Knicks have scored an average of 109.0 points per game (1.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 126.2 points per game (11.5 above their season average).
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