The Charlotte 49ers (+18) are traveling south to face the Florida Atlantic Owls at FAU Stadium. This CUSA game will get underway at 6:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to STAD. These teams faced off last year with the final outcome being a 31-12 victory for Florida Atlantic.
Charlotte 49ers at Florida Atlantic Owls Betting Preview
The 49ers approach this Saturday CUSA game as a big underdog and are currently being given 18 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline gamblers would currently have to spend $1,500 to win $100 back on the Owls (-1500). The 49ers are getting +810 moneyline odds. Should one team can create a bunch of points in the early stages it’ll create a decent betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 54.5 points.
This game’s O/U has not moved after it was set initially at 54.5. Having said that, the opening line was -17 so square bettors are hammering the Owls.
The 49ers are 6-5 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.8 units so far in 2018. The team has posted an O/U record of 6-4. The Owls are down 3.7 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-7 ATS and also own an O/U record of 6-4.
The 49ers have gone 4-7 straight up (SU), including 3-4 SU against conference opponents. The Owls are 5-6 SU overall and 3-4 SU in conference play.
The Niners fell to FIU 42-35 in a game where Hasaan Klugh completed 16-of-22 passes for 253 yards, along with one score and a pick. Benny LeMay (159 rushing yards on 30 attempts, four TDs) and the signal-caller Klugh (48 yards on 13 carries) led the ground attack. Victor Tucker (four receptions, 115 yards) and Workpeh Kofa (four catches, 37 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Back on November 15, North Texas took care of this Florida Atlantic team by a score of 41-38. The Owls defensive unit allowed the Mean Green to pass for 303 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 208 yards and three scores. DeAndre Torrey was outstandingfor the Mean Green, recording 184 rushing yards and a score on 17 attempts. For Florida Atlantic, Chris Robison completed 21-of-35 passes for 294 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Devin Singletary (91 rushing yards on 23 attempts, two TDs) and Kerrith Whyte, Jr. (76 yards on 16 carries, one TD) spearheaded the running game as Harrison Bryant (six receptions, 138 yards, one TD) and Jovon Durante (six catches, 90 yards, one TD) led the receiving corps in the loss.
In terms of offensive play-calling, each of these squads has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Charlotte’s run the ball on 62.4 percent of its offensive possessions while Florida Atlantic has an overall rush percentage of 60.6. The 49ers have run for 148 yards/game (including 163 per game against Conference USA opponents) and have 16 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Owls are logging 247 rushing yards per game (262 in conference) and have 34 total rush TDs.
It appears that the Owls should have an edge when it comes to quarterback protection. Their offensive line has yielded only 13 sacks while the D-line has logged 20 sacks. The 49ers O-line has allowed 35 sacks and their defense has forced only 18 sacks.
The Niners offensive scheme has logged 187 yards/contest in the air overall (178 per game against conference opposition) and has nine passing TDs so far. The Owls have recorded 231 pass yards per contest (223.7 against CUSA foes) and have 12 total pass scores.
Defensively, Charlotte seems to have the upper hand in both phases. The team has let opponents run for an average of 98 yards and throw for 225 yards per game. The Florida Atlantic D has given up 253.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 175.5 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Niners have given up an ANY/A of 7.14 to opposing QBs, while the Owls are allowing an ANY/A of 6.89.
Offensively, Klugh has amassed 253 passing yards this season. He’s completed 64 percent of his 25 attempts with one scores through the air and one interception. He has a 7.57 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.83 over the last two outings.
The 49ers will likely try to control tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. Along with Victor Tucker (681 yards, two TDs), Benny LeMay (985 rush yards, 10 rush TDs, 275 receiving yards) and Aaron McAllister (359 rush yards, two rush TDs) have really been focal points in the Charlotte offensive scheme.
Chris Robison has completed 162-of-261 passes for 2,029 yards, 10 TDs and 12 INTs for Florida Atlantic. His ANY/A stands at 6.18 for the year and 7.93 across his past two outings.
The Owls also prefer to rely on their backfield. Jovon Durante (783 receiving yards, five TDs) has chipped in lately, but Kerrith Whyte, Jr. (678 rush yards, six rush TDs, one receiving TD) and Devin Singletary (1,112 rush yards, 20 rush TDs) have seen a lot of action recently.
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Florida Atlantic defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 20 times this season. Charlotte has registered 18 sacks.
Florida Atlantic has lost five fumbles in 2018 while the Charlotte offense has lost seven.
The 49ers offense has recorded seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Owls have accounted for nine such plays.
The Charlotte defense has allowed 10 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Florida Atlantic has given up seven such plays.
The Charlotte offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Florida Atlantic has created 29 such runs.
The 49ers defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Owls have given up 13 such runs.
The Over/Under for Florida Atlantic’s last matchup was set at 62.5. The over cashed in the 41-38 defeat to North Texas.
In its last three matches, Florida Atlantic is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
In its last three contests, Charlotte is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Charlotte has lost five of its last six games SU, with a three-point victory over Southern Miss on October 27th accounting for the only win over that span.
The Over/Under for Charlotte’s last game going into it was 45. The over cashed in the team’s 42-35 defeat to FIU.
Charlotte has rushed for 3.6 yards per attempt over its last three outings and 4.0 over its last two.
Florida Atlantic has averaged 5.8 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.9 over its last two.
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