The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (+16) are heading west to face their in-conference counterpart San Diego State Aztecs at SDCCU Stadium. The game is scheduled to kick off at 10:30 p.m. ET and ESPNU has the TV rights.
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
In this Saturday Mountain West game, San Diego State has been tabbed as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 16 points. If they are wanting to play the moneyline, bettors would currently have to spend $1,000 in order to win $100 back on the Aztecs (-1000). The Rainbow Warriors are getting +625 moneyline odds. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 54.5 points, and should one school finds paydirt early on, it’ll probably result in a decent betting opportunity in-game.
Each of these teams has posted a good return this year as the Rainbow Warriors have gained 12.5 units while the Aztecs are up 5.3 units.
The Rainbow Warriors are 7-5 straight up (SU), including 4-3 SU against MWC opponents. The Aztecs are 7-4 SU overall and are also 4-3 SU in conference play.
The Rainbow Warriors just got a 35-28 victory over UNLV last weekTheir defense allowed the Rebels to rush for 221 yards on 53 attempts, including two rush TDs. Lexington Thomas had a productive day for the Rebels in that one with 129 rushing yards and both touchdowns on 28 attempts. On the offense, the Rainbow Warriors completed 18-of-36 passes for 328 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Cole McDonald went 14-for-30 for 175 yards and two interceptions while Chevan Cordeiro completed four-of-five for 153 yards and three touchdowns. John Ursua (six receptions, 148 yards, one TD) and JoJo Ward (five catches, 109 yards, two TDs) shared the receiving duties.
San Diego State most recently fell 23-14 to Fresno State. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Bulldogs to eat up the clock by running for 123 yards on 43 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. KeeSean Johnson put up a productive outing for Fresno State, accounting for 141 yards on 10 catches. As a group, the Aztecs collectively completed eight-of-21 passes for 218 yards and two touchdowns. Christian Chapman went four-for-13 for 126 yards and one touchdown while Ryan Agnew was four-of-eight for 92 yards and one touchdown. Juwan Washington (38 rushing yards on 18 attempts) handled the ground attack in the defeat while Fred Trevillion (four receptions, 189 yards, two TDs) and Kahale Warring (three catches, 23 yards) led the pass-catching attack.
Hawaii has run the ball on 43.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while San Diego State has an overall rush percentage of 62.5 percent. The Rainbow Warriors have produced 118 rush yards/game (including 116 per game versus Mountain West opponents) and have 10 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Aztecs are totaling 157 rushing yards per game (133 in conference) and have 14 total rush TDs.
The Rainbow Warriors offensive scheme has averaged 310 yards through the air overall (304 per game against conference opposition) and has 38 passing scores so far. The Aztecs have produced 193 pass yards per game (204.6 against MWC foes) and have 12 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Hawaii has allowed 206 rush yards and 236 pass yards per game. The San Diego State defense has allowed 213.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 97.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Aztecs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.88 to opposing QBs, while the Rainbow Warriors have given up an 8.15 ANY/A.
Offensively, McDonald is up to 3,007 passing yards this season, and has connected on 61 percent of his 373 attempts with 30 scores through the air and only six interceptions. He’s got a 7.92 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 3.99 over the past two outings.
Look for McDonald to distribute the football early and often in this one. John Ursua (733 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns), JoJo Ward (712 yards, eight TDs) and Cedric Byrd (733 yards, eight TDs) have all been heavily involved recently.
Ryan Agnew has completed 87-of-169 passes for 1,309 yards, eight TDs and four INTs for San Diego State. His ANY/A sits at 6.33 for the season and 6.63 over his past two games.
Fred Trevillion, Tim Wilson Jr. and Juwan Washington have combined to account for 431 total yards and five touchdowns as a trio over the last two outings.
When these two squads faced one another last year, San Diego State won by three touchdowns 28-7.
RELATED: Week 13 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
NCAA Pick: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. San Diego State Aztecs
SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Under
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Hawaii defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 25 times this season. San Diego State has produced 23 sacks.
San Diego State has lost 10 fumbles in 2018 while the Hawaii offense has lost seven.
The Rainbow Warriors offense has recorded 17 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Aztecs have accounted for four such plays.
The Hawaii defense has allowed nine pass plays of 40 or more yards, while San Diego State has given up 10 such plays.
The Hawaii offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while San Diego State has created 17 such runs.
The Rainbow Warriors defense has allowed 24 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Aztecs have given up three such runs.
The Over/Under for San Diego State’s last outing was set at 42. The under cashed in the team’s 23-14 loss to Fresno State.
Over its last three contests, San Diego State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Over its last three matchups, Hawaii is 1-2 ATS.
San Diego State has lost four of its last five games SU, with an eight-point win over New Mexico on November 3rd representing the lone victory over that stretch.
The Over/Under for Hawaii’s last game was 72.5. The under cashed in the team’s 35-28 victory over UNLV.
Hawaii has produced 2.8 yards per carry across its last three games and 2.5 over its last two.
San Diego State has averaged 3.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 2.5 over its last two.
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