The Dallas Mavericks (8-9) will try to lengthen their five-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Boston Celtics (10-9) at American Airlines Center. The game is scheduled to begin at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 24, 2018.
Boston is a 1.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 213 points.
Boston Celtics vs. Dallas Mavericks ATS Prediction
In the Celtics’ last game, they thoroughly outplayed the Atlanta Hawks, 114-96, as 14.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (210) came in under the O/U total of 215.5. The Celtics held the Hawks to an offensive rebounding percentage of 12.2 (below their season average of 20.8). The Hawks also had a turnover percentage of 17.6 (above the 13.2 mark opponents have averaged against Boston this season). Boston rallied around Aron Baynes, who led the team in scoring with 16 points on 5-for-7 shooting.
The Mavericks defeated the Brooklyn Nets in their last game, 119-113, covering as 5.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (232) came in well over the projected point total of 215. The Mavericks knocked down 32 of their 41 free throws (78.0 percent) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.558 (above their season average of 0.527). With 12 points and 14 rebounds, Dallas’ DeAndre Jordan had a good outing.
After the Celtics won both contests against the Mavericks last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the last matchup, Boston won 97-90. Boston had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (18.8 vs. 12.0). Dallas, on the other hand, had a better turnover percentage (8.8 vs. 10.4).
Boston holds records of 10-9 straight up (SU) and 6-12 against the spread (ATS). It’s tough to find a trend for games featuring the Celtics in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, Dallas is 8-9 SU and 11-6 ATS. A little over half of Mavericks games have finished over the projected point total.
Kyrie Irving has averaged 26 points,8.6 assists,5.4 rebounds,2.4 steals over the last five games for Boston.
The offense of Dallas (16th in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 106.3) will battle against the elite defense of Boston (first in the league with a defensive efficiency of 100.3). The Celtics figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.
Boston Celtics at Dallas Mavericks Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Boston is 2-8 ATS on the road with 5 overs and 5 unders.
Dallas is 7-2 ATS at home with 5 overs and 4 unders.
Dallas is 3-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Boston is 5-2.
The Mavericks are 8-8 when they score over 100 points, while the Celtics are 10-6.
Boston ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while Dallas ranks 26th (9.4).
The Mavericks rank third in rebounds allowed per game (41.8) while the Celtics rank 24th (47.0).
Boston ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (21.7) while Dallas ranks 23rd (24.2).
The Mavericks average 33.0 three pointers per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Celtics rank 23rd in three pointers allowed per game (32.7).
Boston ranks first in points off turnovers allowed per game (13.3) while Dallas ranks 14th (17.2).
The Mavericks rank 17 in points in the paint per game (46) while the Celtics rank 29 (39.89473684210526).
Boston averages 15.210526315789474 fast break points per game, which ranks 10 in the league. Dallas ranks 19 in fast break points allowed per game (14.352941176470589).
The Celtics rank 2 in blocks allowed per game (4) while the Mavericks rank 7 (4.764705882352941).
Dallas ranks 4 in second chance points allowed per game (11.411764705882353) while Boston ranks 6 (11.842105263157896).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five contests, Boston is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Dallas is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Celtics have scored an equal number of points as their opponents. On the season, Boston has defeated opponents by an average of 2.7 points.
During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 108.0 points per game (1.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 97.2 points per game (11.6 below their season average).
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