It will be a battle between Pacific Division opponents when the Golden State Warriors (13-7) welcome the Sacramento Kings (10-8) to ORACLE Arena. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 24, 2018, and will air on NBC Sports – Bay Area.
Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors Free Prediction
In the Kings’ last matchup, they topped the Utah Jazz, 119-110, as 9.5-point underdogs. The total points for the game (229) came in over the projected point total of 222. Sacramento was lights out from beyond the arc (11-25; 44.0 percent). Utah, meanwhile, did an excellent job of making free throws (22-31; 71.0 percent). De’Aaron Fox led the way for Sacramento, finishing with 17 points, 13 assists and seven rebounds.
The Warriors dismantled the Portland Trail Blazers in their last game, 125-97, despite being 1.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (222) were just under the O/U total of 223.5. Golden State’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Portland. The Warriors had a rate of 0.665 (above their season average of 0.556), while the Trail Blazers posted a mark of 0.457 (below their season average of 0.519). Kevin Durant was the top scorer from either team with 32 points on 13-for-21 shooting from the field.
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Golden State figures to have a substantial advantage. The sharp-shooting Warriors offense ranks second in the NBA in that metric at 0.561, while the suspect Sacramento defense is ranked 24th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.529).
Sacramento heads into the contest with records of 10-8 straight up (SU) and 11-7 against the spread (ATS). Of the Kings’ 18 games, 11 have gone over the projected point total.
Golden State has a solid 13-7 SU record, but they are just 8-11 ATS. Unlike Sacramento, just over half of Warriors games have finished under the total.
Bogdan Bogdanovic has averaged 14 points over the last five games for Sacramento.
After splitting four games last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. In the last contest, the Warriors won 112-96. The Warriors had a better turnover percentage (9.5 vs. 13.6) and had a better free throw rate (0.253 vs. 0.184).
Kings at Warriors Odds Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Sacramento is 5-5 ATS with 9 overs and 1 under.
Golden State is 6-4 ATS at home with 7 unders and 3 overs.
In contests where they hold opponents under 100 points, Golden State is 2-0 and Sacramento is 3-0.
When reaching the century mark, the Kings are 9-7 and the Warriors are 13-3.
Sacramento ranks fourth in points in the paint per game (54.0) while Golden State ranks 28th (40.5).
The Warriors rank fifth in fast break points per game (17.3) while the Kings rank 27th in fast break points allowed per game (16.4).
Golden State ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.8) while Sacramento ranks 27th (48.5).
The Warriors rank third in blocks per game (6.4) while the Kings rank 22nd (4.4).
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (28.2) while Sacramento ranks 20th in assists allowed per game (24.1).
The Kings rank 3 in points off turnovers per game (20.27777777777778) while the Warriors rank 21 (16.1).
Sacramento averages 8.333333333333334 steals per game, which ranks 10 in the NBA. Golden State ranks 21 in steals allowed per game (8.15).
The Warriors rank 20 in three pointers attempted per game (29.25) while the Kings rank 29 in three pointers allowed per game (36.5).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five games, Sacramento is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Golden State is 0-5 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The Kings’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 2.0, up from 1.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 101.4 points per game (14.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 108.6 points per game (1.8 below their season average).
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