Sean Couturier, Claude Giroux, and the Philadelphia Flyers are set to face off against Morgan Rielly, Mitchell Marner, and the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena in an Eastern Conference showdown. The opening face-off is at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 24, and it can be viewed live on CBC Sports.
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
Netting moneyline bettors 4.5 units, Toronto is 15-8 straight up (SU) overall this year. That winning percentage, ranked third in the NHL in this young season, isn’t too far off from to the 49-33 record the team produced during the 2017-18 season campaign. Among the team’s 23 games this season, eight have gone under the total, while eight have gone over and just two have pushed. The team is 6-5 SU at home this season.
The Maple Leafs have converted on 23.0 percent of their power play opportunities this year, a figure that’s right around league average. On the other hand, their penalty kill is ranked fifth overall, and they’ve successfully killed off 82.8 percent of all penalties.
Averaging 29.7 saves per game with a .931 save percentage, Frederik Andersen (12-7) has been the principal goalkeeper for the Leafs this year. Andersen did just play yesterday, however, so the team may opt to give him the night off and instead turn to Garret Sparks (3-1-1 record, .906 save percentage, 3.20 goals against average).
Philadelphia has lost 4.7 units for moneyline bettors this year and is currently 10-12 straight up (SU). Through 22 regular season matches, 14 of its games have gone over the total, while seven have gone under the total and none have pushed. The Flyers are 5-5 SU as the road team this season.
The Flyers have converted on just 15.7 percent of their power play chances this season, a figure that’s ranked 26th in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 30th overall and it’s successfully killed off 69.7 percent of all opponent power plays.
Brian Elliott (25.0 saves per game) has been the primary option in the net for Philadelphia. Elliott owns a 7-7 record, while registering a .911 save percentage and 2.59 goals against average this year.
Philadelphia Flyers at Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Predictions
Free NHL Pick: SU Winner – Maple Leafs, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Trends
Over Toronto’s last ten outings, nine of them have been decided by two or more goals (the team is 6-3 in those games).
Power plays and penalty kills could prove to be key in tonight’s matchup. The Flyers are 4-4 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 5-6 in games where they’re in the box for fewer than 10 total penalty minutes. The Maple Leafs are 6-3 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 12-8 when they’re in the box for less than 10 minutes.
For both of these teams, the over has hit in three of their last five outings.
Philadelphia has averaged 6.8 giveaways over its last five home games, an improvement from its season average of 8.3 giveaways per game (ranked 11th in the NHL).
Toronto has averaged 18.8 giveaways over its last five home games, a rise over its season average of 11.9 giveaways per game (ranked 26th overall).
Philadelphia skaters have accounted for the league’s eighth-most hits per game (23.4), but that number’s down to just 20.4 hits over their last five away games.
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